The Baltimore Ravens are returning home after their bye week to take on the Los Angeles Rams as 7.5-point favorites. The Ravens are vying for the AFC’s No. 1 seed at 9-3, while the Rams are riding a three-game win streak and have re-emerged as a playoff contender.
Here are some of the top player prop bets to eye in this conference battle.
All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Zay Flowers over 46.5 receiving yards (-110)
Flowers stole the show in the Ravens’ last matchup in Week 12, where he scored two touchdowns against the Los Angeles Chargers. However, his five receptions went for just 25 total receiving yards, a continuation of a downward trend in his yardage production. Since Week 8, Flowers has gone over 43 receiving yards in only one game.
Positive receiving regression seems due for the dynamic rookie, and the first game fresh off a bye week is a good place to start. The Rams’ pass defense ranks middle-of-the-pack this season but they are exploitable. Flowers should have an advantage against their cornerbacks and he’s demonstrated he can produce a big play against any team.
If this was earlier in the season, when Flowers was consistently going for 50+ receiving yards each week, this over/under line of 46.5 would be higher. This is a good buy-low spot if you’re banking on a return to early-season form for Flowers.
Odell Beckham Jr. over 2.5 receptions (-120)
The downturn in Flowers’ production has coincided with the upward production of Beckham Jr., who has looked more and more comfortable in the Ravens’ passing attack in recent weeks. The veteran wideout has seen a consistent target share all season with four or more targets in all but two games.
Since Week 8, though, Beckham Jr. has three games with seven targets and three or more receptions in four of six games. Over the past two weeks, Beckham Jr. has caught seven passes total on 12 targets. His route-running and sure hands are even more valuable for Lamar Jackson now that Mark Andrews is no longer in the lineup.
Beckham Jr. should continue to be a safety valve and chains-mover in this matchup against his former team, which only makes a productive outing seem more likely. While the value at-120 isn’t great, betting on the former All-Pro to catch three passes again seems like a solid proposition.
Gus Edwards anytime touchdown scorer (+120)
The “Gus Bus” is tied for fourth in most rushing touchdowns this season with 10. He did not find the end zone in Week 12, which marked the end of a five-game scoring streak. During those five weeks, Edwards had three multi-touchdown performances and scored nine touchdowns combined, which account for nearly his entire season-long total.
Edwards has been a consistent workhorse for the Ravens’ in the red zone, particularly at the goal line and in short-yardage scenarios. Their last matchup against the Chargers was a bit of an offensive outlier as the Ravens only got into the Los Angeles’ 10 yard line once, and Edwards did not receive a touch.
It’s not realistic to expect him to score in every game and going multiple games in a row without a touchdown is certainly a possibility. However, betting on Edwards to bounce back with a score against the Rams is a good bet given his prior torrid touchdown pace. It’s an even better bet when the value is at +120.
Kyren Williams anytime touchdown scorer (+125)
Speaking of torrid scoring paces, the same applies for the running back on the other team in this matchup. Williams is tied for the ninth-most rushing touchdowns this season with seven and he’s done so in just eight games. On top of that, he’s found the end zone three additional times as a pass-catcher, including a two-receiving touchdown performance against the Cardinals two weeks ago.
The Rams have featured Williams heavily all season long whenever healthy. Since he returned from injury, the Notre Dame product has scored in back-to-back games and received nearly 50 touches combined. Williams has scored in six of eight games on the year, giving his anytime touchdown prop a 75% success rate.
The Ravens would certainly like to keep him and the entire Rams’ offense out of the end zone this week. Los Angeles may not find plentiful offensive success against a stout Ravens’ defense and scoring opportunities could be limited. However, Williams’ touchdown prowess has been matchup-proof so far this season.
As is the case with Edwards, getting plus-value on this prop is too enticing not to jump on given the success rate to-date.
Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See DraftKings Sportsbook for details.