The Baltimore Ravens travel to San Francisco this week for a big matchup against the 49ers on Christmas night. At 11-3, these two foes are atop each of their conferences and are tied for the best record in the league. The Ravens are rare underdogs in this spot as the 49ers are favored to win by five points.
Here are some of the top player prop bets to eye in this premier primetime showdown.
All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Gus Edwards over 46.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)
Edwards had hit a bit of a late-season lull in recent weeks, rushing for 26 yards or less in three of four games heading into Week 15. That slump coincided with the expanded role of Keaton Mitchell in the backfield. However, Edwards bounced back last Sunday with 58 rushing yards and a touchdown against the Jacksonville Jaguars’ fourth-ranked rush defense. He added another 11 yards through the air as a receiver.
With Mitchell now out of the lineup, Edwards should see his workload increase again significantly. This matchup against the 49ers, who boast the second-ranked run defense in the league, is not a great one. However, the Ravens will likely be committed to the run in an effort to negate San Francisco’s pass rush and control time of possession.
Edwards’ over/under rushing yards projection is 39.5, with the over holding -130 value. You can instead bet the over of his combined rushing and receiving yardage total of 46.5, where the value on the over is slightly better at -115.
He is not a usual impact receiver but could very well exceed 46.5 yards on the ground alone based on sheer volume. In the 10 games where’s seen double-digit touches this season, Edwards has gone eclipsed this mark in all but one.
Lamar Jackson over 10.5 rushing attempts (+110)
Jackson’s rushing attempts have crept upward in recent weeks, as he’s run the ball 11+ times in three straight games. Prior to Week 12, he was averaging under nine carries per game, but that number for the season is now almost 10 following the last three weeks.
The 49ers’ defensive line could give the Ravens’ offensive front some challenges, particularly at both edge spots. If Jackson is under duress often, we could see a heavy dose of scrambles outside of the pocket or up the middle to elude San Francisco’s pass rush. That happened numerous times in last week’s matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Ravens may need Jackson to put on his superhero cape and made things happen with his legs to move the chains and grind out yards. To get plus value on taking the over of 10.5 rushing attempts here makes it a worthwhile bet. Jackson could also see a few more designed run calls with Mitchell no longer present to eat up 8-10 carries, also.
Isaiah Likely over 35.5 receiving yards (-115)
Likely’s recent emergence since Mark Andrews suffered a long-term injury has been well-documented now. The second-year tight has 14 catches and 193 receiving yards over the past three games. He’s seen six or more targets in each of these games and 19 total, evidence that he’s quickly become a trusted option for Jackson in the passing game.
The 49ers’ defense has capable pass defenders over the middle of the field, particularly with their elite linebacker duo of Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw. They’ve allowed 36 or more receiving yards to an opposing tight end just five times on the season.
While this may not be a plus matchup for Likely, his over/under yardage projection of 35.5 is too low not to take a flier on given his robust role and momentum. Likely could exceed this total with just one long catch or two, but there’s a good chance he’ll again have at least a few catches in this game.
Deebo Samuel anytime touchdown scorer (+100)
Samuel has been on a heater in recent weeks, re-establishing himself as one of the league’s most dynamic offensive playmakers. Over the past six games, Samuel is averaging around five catches and 80 receiving yards per game, while adding rushing yardage in the double digits as well.
While his production in these areas has been noteworthy, Samuel’s knack for finding the end zone has been especially prevalent. The speedster wider receiver has scored a touchdown in five of the past six games and has five receiving scores combined in three consecutive weeks. He’s also scored four rushing touchdowns over this same six-game span.
The Ravens’ defense may keep the 49ers out of the end zone more than some of their recent opponents have been able to do. However, it’d take a miracle to keep them from scoring a touchdown entirely. Samuel’s dual-threat ability and recent scoring streak make him a good bet to be one of the 49ers’ players to find paydirt either a rusher or receiver.
Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See DraftKings Sportsbook for details.