The Baltimore Ravens will travel to Los Angeles in Week 12 for a road matchup against the Chargers, where they’re favored by 3.5 points. Brandon Staley’s squad is desperately looking for a win, as they’ve lost two games in a row and four of their past six contests. The Ravens, meanwhile, are seeking to maintain their position atop the division and contend for the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
Here are some of the top player prop bets to eye in this conference battle.
All odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Keaton Mitchell over 7.5 receiving yards (-115)
Mitchell has emerged as a playmaker in the Ravens’ offense over the past three weeks and has seemingly seized the No. 2 running back role. After a puzzlingly low workload against the Browns in Week 10, Mitchell saw nine touches last Thursday night. The Ravens have been vocal about wanting to continuining to feature him moving forward.
While the undrafted rookie has been dynamic as a runner, he’s yet to make a huge impact as a pass-catcher out of the backfield. With his speed and open-field ability, it’s only a matter of time before that changes. His over/under projection for receiving yards in this matchup is set extremely low at just 7.5 total.
Mitchell has caught only one pass in the past four games on five total targets. All but one of them has gone for eight or more yards, though, and one was a 32-yard gain off a screen pass. Mitchell only needs the ball and some degree of open space to rip off a chunk gain. He could become even more of a factor in the passing game now as a safety valve option in the absence of Mark Andrews.
Zay Flowers anytime touchdown scorer (+185)
With Andrews out of the lineup, Flowers figures to see his already-high target share increase. That will be even more true if Odell Beckham Jr. is ruled inactive as well or limited with a shoulder injury. An increase in volume should bring about more scoring chances for the dynamic rookie, whose still seeking his second touchdown of the season.
Flowers found the end zone last week but the long touchdown catch was negated by a holding penalty. Nevertheless, he’s a threat to score from just about anywhere on the field given his deep ball ability and yards after catch prowess.
In his second career primetime affair, Flowers is a good bet to make good in the touchdown department. It’s a plus matchup to do so, too, against a Chargers’ defense that’s been generous to opposing wide receivers this season. Betting on Flowers to score here brings solid value at +185.
Rashod Bateman over 26.5 receiving yards (-115)
Another player prime for a higher target share in Andrews’ absence is Bateman, who caught his first touchdown pass of the season last week. It feels like a weekly conversation now to say Bateman is due for a true breakout performance in terms of catches and yards. He’s been hovering around the one to two catch mark every game with a handful of targets.
He’s failed to hit the over on this 26.5 projection in each of the past two games. However, prior to, he exceeded it in three straight contests. Bateman only needs a couple more targets per game to be more effective in the yardage department.
The former first-round pick is also liable to catch deep pass or rip off yards after the catch for a big gain, which he’s still yet to really unlock to-date this season. With a void in the pass-catching department now present, his opportunities should increase. This primetime spot is a good one for Bateman to potentially have his highest receiving output in 2023.
Justin Herbert over 35.5 pass attempts (-115)
Herbert is averaging exactly 35.8 pass attempts per game this season, so this projection is right on-par. He’s thrown the ball 36 times or more in six contests to-date, though, including each of the past two games. In two of the previous games, Herbert exceeded the 40-attempt threshold.
Assuming the Ravens are able to move the ball and score somewhat consistently against the Chargers’ defense, a pass-happy game script could play out for Herbert and the Los Angeles offense.
Baltimore’s pass defense has been solid through 11 games, but opposing quarterbacks have not been gun-shy for the most part. The Ravens’ have allowed 36 or more pass attempts in six of ten games this year, which aligns identically with Herbert’s figures for the season.
Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See DraftKings Sportsbook for details.