So how did you guys spend your Friday? Get some work done? Go for a walk? Nice. I watched all 12 interceptions of Lamar Jackson’s career.
I’m not quite sure what prompted this, but I’ve been meaning to start breaking down film a bit more, and figured an exercise like this would be a good way to do so. We know so much about what makes Lamar so great, so why not have a look at some the negative plays over the course of his career and see what conclusion we arrive at?
While that’s certainly part of went on, I also came to another realization: Jackson is an even better decision-maker than I initially thought. Trust me (Truss me? Truzz me?), I’ve been pretty bullish on the guy from day one, and only 12 interceptions over the course of a season and a half of football is nothing to shake a stick at.
But walking away from an in-depth look at his turnovers through the air convinced me that he’s only really made a few inexcusable decisions passing the ball over that course of time. I broke all of this down on the below Twitter thread:
#1 vs. Cincy in his first career start, 2018: This is one of the glaring errors, but I see what he was going for. Chased out of the pocket, trying to make a play, and doesn’t see the DB on a force to Snead. These days I think he just tucks and runs this, but live & learn. pic.twitter.com/PaoiShaXga— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
#3, same game: Not a great matchup, decision, or throw, but these tip drill picks can certainly be a bit luck dependent, and this was a perfect bounce for Gilchrist. Moral of the story is that end zone fades to Crabtree just don’t work, which the Ravens should definitely know. pic.twitter.com/3HwKCf9k3K— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
#5, week 4 (Super Bowl) 2019: Bad decision, but not inexcusable. Chasing a lead late in the game, and hawks one up to his go to guy in double coverage. Didn’t work out, but he was certainly in screw it mode by that point. pic.twitter.com/0SAtYFU2In— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
#7, week 5 2019 at PIT: Definitely a force feed to Andrews who was surrounded, but he got arm barred, and again, it’s a tip drill. Bad decision, bad bounce as well. pic.twitter.com/lRfzP0BYGB— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
#9, 3rd of this game: Didn’t know what to make of this one at the time and still don’t. Weird decision to try and fit a tight one into Boyle up high, but @ravens4dummies has noted their D really threw him off in this one. Regardless, I’m not even sure this even was a pick, but ♂️ pic.twitter.com/SvzRlaHcbT— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
#11, div. vs. TEN: Another tip drill, another reason why this is just a Murphy’s law game in my opinion. Right decision vs. this setup, and a nice call. Pass is a bit high, but Andrews catches this 9 out of 10 times. Also pretty sick that Lamar brings down Byard by the face mask. pic.twitter.com/X5eK0ZBv36— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
I already knew Lamar was a good decision maker and good at fitting the ball, but this exercise has me even more optimistic in that sense. Next Gen Stats has him clocked at 21 interceptable passes on his career, so of the 12 that were picked, only ~3 were really, truly bad?— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
There’s a lot of talk of numerical regression in 2020 which I believe is gonna happen to a certain extent. But if the aggregate O/U on INTs even sniffs double digits, then give me the under every day of the week. pic.twitter.com/pcCKRNIPhR— Jake Louque (@Jakelouque) May 29, 2020
I really hope you guys enjoyed this one, and maybe learned something. What do you think about Lamar’s interceptions so far, and how he projects in that category for 2020?
If Lamar’s INT O/U total for 2020 is 8.5, are you ...
This poll is closed
Taking the over
Taking the under
I’m personally taking the under, if only by a slight bit. Luck of the bounce, his decision making as shown above, and missing gametime either due to injury or having the game in hand would be my reasoning.
What’s yours? Let us know in the comments down below.