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Ravens News 5/14: Regression looming? and more

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Divisional Round - Tennessee Titans v Baltimore Ravens Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

All-Paid Team of Tomorrow: Projecting next big NFL contracts - Anthony Holzman-Escareno

Offensive tackle: Ronnie Stanley, Baltimore Ravens ($22M-plus)

With Laremy Tunsil doing exactly what was expected this offseason — resetting the offensive line market — his 2016 draftmate, Ronnie Stanley, should be the next offensive tackle to get his bag. Stanley was the best player on an offensive line that anchored the NFL’s top-ranked scoring and rushing attack last season. Stanley is far from a mere run blocker. He received PFF’s highest pass-blocking grade (93.3) among all players with at least 100 snaps last season, while ranking as its third-highest graded offensive tackle overall.

With Stanley currently set to play 2020 on his fifth-year option, the Ravens would be wise to get ahead of negotiations with their franchise left tackle. The last Baltimore offensive tackle to earn a first-team All-Pro selection was Hall of Famer Jonathan Ogden. Stanley, selected sixth overall in 2016, will follow Tunsil into the $20 million club.

Cornerback: Jalen Ramsey, Los Angeles Rams ($18M-plus)

ON THE RADAR:

Marlon Humphrey, Baltimore Ravens: Humphrey also etched the first Pro Bowl and All-Pro selections onto his resume in 2019. He is one of the most physical cornerbacks in the league, and the number on his uniform (44) certainly is on brand for the Ravens star. Humphrey had six takeaways (three INTs, three forced fumbles) and scored two defensive touchdowns last season.

Is an offensive regression looming for the Baltimore Ravens? What does it mean for the Cleveland Browns? - Ellis L. Williams

Also, Baltimore caught a break when schedules were released last week. The Ravens are the only team favored in all 16 games, and they don’t travel to the West Coast once.

Let’s lay out a few reasons why Baltimore’s offense could regress in 2020, starting with the Ravens’ dependency on getting early points.

Baltimore took advantage of leads

In 2019, Jackson threw 27 of his 36 passing touchdowns (75 percent) while ahead. That stat says two things. First, the Ravens thrived on delivering knockout punches courtesy of Jackson play-action passes. Most teams emphasize the run with a lead, but aggressive offenses like Baltimore and the 49ers last year copied McVay’s Rams by throwing while ahead.

Also, the Ravens held leads at a stunning rate and outscored their opponents by an average of two touchdowns. According to Football Outsiders, Baltimore ranked No. 1 in both time of possession and time of possession with a lead.

Lamar Jackson’s rushing totals should drop

Last week Vegas set Jackson’s over/under season rushing total at 999.5 yards. That number quickly dropped to about 940.5 yards. That seems more responsible and Vegas agrees. Mahomes, Brady and Manning already showed a 20 percent throwing touchdown reduction is common after a monster season. So expect Jackson to throw closer to 30 scores than 40.

Ravens Announce Jersey Numbers for Rookie Draft Class - Clifton Brown

The Ravens have officially announced jersey numbers for the 2020 draft class, and they are as follows:

ILB Patrick Queen – No. 48

RB J.K. Dobbins – No. 27

DT Justin Madubuike – No. 92

WR Devin Duvernay – No. 13

ILB Malik Harrison – No. 40

OL Tyre Phillips – No. 74

OL Ben Bredeson – No. 67

DT Broderick Washington – No. 96

WR James Proche – No. 11

S Geno Stone – No. 26

PFF All-Decade Top 101: The best NFL players from the 2010s - Sam Monson

25. G MARSHAL YANDA

One of the greatest offensive linemen of his generation retired this offseason and brought to a close what should be a Hall of Fame career. Every season of his career saw him earn a PFF grade of at least 80.0, and he broke the 90.0 barrier twice over the decade. Yanda was flagged for just two penalties in the last four years and was beaten for only two sacks in the past five. He is one of the best offensive linemen ever to play the game.

48. DI/EDGE CALAIS CAMPBELL

Calais Campbell has earned an overall PFF grade above 90.0 four times in his career, and they have been the last four seasons. All of those years came after he turned 30 years old, and they have spanned multiple teams, defenses and even positions along the defensive line. For a while, Campbell was the best interior pass-rusher in football not named Aaron Donald, before moving outside and proving he could be an impact edge defender in Jacksonville. He is also one of the best run defenders in the game and has tallied at least 30 defensive stops every season of his career.