The Seattle Seahawks play host to the Baltimore Ravens in a match up featuring two of the most electrifying quarterbacks in the NFL. The Ravens will be looking to extend their lead in the AFC North to 2.5 games by improving to 5-2 on the season. The Seahawks are 5-1 behind the stellar play of Russell Wilson who is the early favorite for MVP honors. Seattle is favored by three points with a total point projection of 48.5. The weather calls for sporadic rain throughout the contest with a high of 52 degrees.
ATS (Against the spread)
Ravens +3 (-120)
Typically when you find a home team favored by only three points, Vegas is giving them the slight edge and otherwise believes the game is a tossup. CenturyLink Field is one of the toughest venues to play in across the entire sports landscape, so the three-point edge is justified. These two teams are about as evenly matched as you will find across the league. Led by stellar quarterback play and physical run games, it will be on the defense for both sides to step up and be the difference in who comes out with the victory. We aren’t used to seeing these two teams relying on their offense to carry them as both defenses have struggled throughout the 2019 season. The Ravens pass defense has been suspect, but will welcome in newly acquired Marcus Peters to help stop the bleeding and force some much needed turnovers. Russell Wilson has been perfect through the air, throwing for 14 touchdowns with zero interceptions, so the Ravens will not be able to afford coverage lapses like in weeks past. The Seahawks defense ranks 20th in the league but will be getting a reinforcement to their interior line as they welcome back Jarran Reed from injury. This should give a boost to the run defense as well as the pass rush which has left much to be desired. The formula for victory will come to who can run the ball successfully and limit the opposing quarterback from taking over the game. The Ravens rushing offense is second to none and has multiple ways of beating you with Lamar Jackson always a threat to produce a highlight. Russell Wilson will get his through the air but as long as the Ravens can limit the damage and force some timely turnovers, this is a winnable road game.
Prediction: Ravens 27 Seahawks 24
Lamar Jackson total passing + rushing yards – Over 289.5 (-112)
Jackson has been getting it done both through the air and on the ground. This past week he became the first quarterback to win the Fedex Ground player of the week award while also becoming the first player to win both the air and ground award in the same season. Jackson has finished under this total yardage number once all season, going over 300-plus combined yards in five out of six games. He is a good bet to finish with above 200 yards passing, surpassing this total in five out of six games. Since week one, Jackson hasn’t rushed for under 46 yards in a game and is seemingly only getting better as he goes, lighting up the Bengals for 152 yards in week 6.
Mark Andrews receiving yards- Over 61.5 (-112)
Andrews has been the most consistent contributor on the number one ranked offense in yards per game. He is undoubtedly the favorite target for Lamar Jackson as they head into a match up against a team that has struggled against the tight end position in 2019. With Marquise Brown looking like he will be unable to play, Andrews will have to step into a larger role and lead the receiving core. The Seahawks pass defense ranks in the bottom ten of the league and particularly do not do well against opposing tight ends. Andrews hasn’t seen fewer than seven targets in any game this season and as long as Jackson can connect, he should comfortably go over his projected yard total.
Mark Ingram rush attempts- Over 12.5 (-164)
Mark Ingram rushing yards- Over 59.5 (-112)
This match up is shaping up to be a slug-fest, and establishing the run early and often will be key in who comes out on top. The Ravens brought in Ingram exactly for this type of game as his physical and violent running style will be needed to set the tone. Ingram has seen his yards per carry drop in recent weeks and has finished with less than 60 rushing yards in consecutive games. Although he hasn’t been needed as much in the past two victories, he hasn’t seen less than 12 carries in any game and I don’t see that happening this week. Ingram is figured to be a big deciding factor in the outcome of this game and will be featured heavily in the Ravens game plan. Look for him to be much more involved as a difference maker than what is being projected by Vegas.
Week 6 Recap
Ravens -12 (+110) - LOSS
Under 47.5 (-105) - WIN
Team to score first: Ravens -210 - LOSS
Mark Andrews total receptions- Over 4.5 - WIN
Mark Andrews total receiving yards- Over 54.5 –WIN
Season Record: 19-11 (63%)