The Baltimore Ravens are favored by 13.5 points for their Week 16 home game against Indianapolis. Oddsmakers have set the point total at 41, representing a 27-14 Ravens victory.
Chuck Pagano’s 3-11 team has lost five straight and failed to cover the spread since Week 10 against Pittsburgh. Injuries have decimated their roster, franchise quarterback Andrew Luck has missed the entire season and top draft pick Malik Hooker was placed on injured reserve in late October. Center Ryan Kelly and linebacker Jon Bostic were also shut down for the season on Monday. Furthermore, playmaking receivers T.Y. Hilton, Donte Moncrief and top corner Rashaan Melvin are all listed as questionable this week.
Baltimore should manhandle Indianapolis on Saturday. The Colts will bring the NFL’s 31st ranked total offense and 30th ranked total defense to M&T Bank stadium. Indianapolis leads the all-time series against the Ravens with a 10-4 record, including a 20-13 win in 2014. The most recent meeting in Baltimore was a 24-9 Ravens victory in the 2012 wildcard round of the playoffs.
The Ravens are surging down the stretch, winning five of seven straight up and five of six against the spread. A league leading plus-17 turnover differential, combined with an efficient Joe Flacco led offense since the bye week, has paved the way for a postseason appearance.
Still, nearly two touchdowns is by far the largest point spread the Ravens have been favored by this season. A 7.5 point spread against the Browns in Week 2 was the largest margin previously. In fact, Baltimore has not been favored by double digits in any home game over the last three seasons.
Several other Week 16 contests are worth monitoring. The Titans are 6.5 point home underdogs against the Rams, while the Chiefs are favored by ten at home versus the Dolphins. The Bills will travel to New England as 12.5 point underdogs and the Jaguars are laying 4.5 in San Francisco. The 7-7 Chargers will be hoping to keep their playoff chances alive when they travel to the Jets as 6.5 point favorites. And the Steelers are 9.5 point favorites in Houston without Antonio Brown on Christmas day.