2013 Record: 11-5
Notable Losses: Antoine Bethea, Cassius Vaughn, Pat Angerer, Donald Brown
Notable Gains: Arthur Jones, D'Qwell Jackson, Mike Adams, Hakeem Nicks
Draft Class: Jack Mewhort, Donte Moncrief, Jonathan Newsome, Andrew Jackson, Ulrick John
The Facts: The Colts are a very flawed team. Their offensive line was poor, their run game was terrible and they couldn't get anything done defensively. I don't expect any of that to change this year. The Colts have concerns on the offensive line. Trent Richardson hasn't shown that he's worth the first round pick that Indianapolis traded for him, and Indianapolis' defense doesn't look much improved.
But they should still win 10+ games and win the AFC South in 2014.
First off, they have Andrew Luck and a pretty good cast of receivers: Reggie Wayne, the savvy veteran, speedy T.Y. Hilton, the talented Hakeem Nicks, who looks to revitalize his career, promising rookie Donte Moncrief, and tight ends Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen. Luck, as I wrote earlier, should carry them to 10 or more wins and an AFC South title.
Also, look at the rest of the division's quarterbacks: Jake Locker, who is injury-prone and inconsistent, Ryan Fitzpatrick, who is a career backup, and Chad Henne, who is also a career back-up.
Even with their many flaws the Colts should win this division as long as Luck stays healthy, with the potential of getting a win in the first round of the playoffs. However, Indianapolis' poor run game and defense will keep them from surpassing Denver and New England.
If you disagree with my assessment and ranking remember: Unless it's something crazy,your guess is as good as mine.