2013 Record: 4-12
Notable Losses: Uche Nwaneri, Justin Blackmon (indefinite suspension), Eugene Monroe (traded), Justin Forsett, Blaine Gabbert (traded), Maurice Jones-Drew, Jason Babin, Russell Allen
Notable Gains: Red Bryant, Chris Clemons, Toby Gerhart, Tandon Doss, Zane Beadles, Dekoda Watson, Ziggy Hood
Draft Class: Blake Bortles, Marqise Lee, Allen Robinson, Brandon Linder, Aaron Colvin, Tevin Smith, Chris Smith, Luke Bowanko, Storm Johnson
The Facts: Last year, the Jaguars looked like they were going to have the first pick in the NFL Draft, until they started winning games and the Texans death spiral took full effect. However, this year I expect the Texans to improve and the Jaguars to fall back to 4th AFC South. The Jaguars have questions at Left Tackle, where Luke Joeckel will start after missing most of his 2013 season, and Offensive Guard. Cecil Shorts is the de facto No. 1, however, after that it gets very murky. There's Tandon Doss, who's consistently been inconsistent. Running Back isn't much more secure as Toby Gerhart has been a solid back behind Adrian Peterson, Denard Robinson struggled with fumbles last year, and Storm Johnson is a rookie. The defense should improve with the veterans that were brought in over the offseason as well as growth from last years' draft class. QB isn't a position of question as the Jaguars have committed to keeping Chad Henne as the starter and letting Blake Bortles next year, which is good as the Jaguars should be somewhat improved by then. The Jaguars have a mixed schedule as they play the NFC East, AFC North, AFC South, and the Chargers and Dolphins. The Eagles and Giants should defeat the Jags, the Ravens and Bengals won't be fun journeys for the Jaguars, Andrew Luck should continue his divisional dominance this year, The Chargers should be able to defeat the Jags at Qualcomm, and the Titans and Texans will have at least one victory to stay out of 4th place.
If you disagree with my assessment or ranking remember: Unless it's something crazy, your guess is as good as mine.