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How the Ravens will finish the season

There is a saying in the NFL it's not who you play but when you play them, implying that at various times of the season, teams are stronger or weaker depending on injuries or recent acquisitions by signing free agents or perhaps by trade.

I disagree. An organization named Cold Hard Facts several years ago came up with a formula to determine which games a team would have a better chance of losing and therefore how a team would finish based on the number of QUALITY OPPONENTS on their schedule. A QUALITY OPPONENT is defined as a team (after week 7)who currently has a record above .500 and who down the road would be almost certain losses for lousy teams and could even result in losses for good teams especially if they were played on the road (for example Denver losing to Indy this past Sunday) And as you might have suspected by now a team with fewer QUALITY OPPONENTS remaining on their schedule has a better chance to win more of the 9 or 10 games it has remaining in the season.

Here's how it breaks down for the Ravens:

The Ravens currently sit at 3-4 and have 6 QUALITY OPPONENTS left on their schedule, Cincinnati(2), Detroit, New England, Chicago and the Jets. I have the Ravens at best splitting these 6 games which would take them to at best 9-7 and therefore be out of the playoffs.

Finally here are projected standings for the AFC and QUALITY OPPONENTS remaining:

Denver Broncos (6-1)----------------------13-3 (5 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

New England Patriots (5-2)----------------12-4 (1 QUALITY OPPONENT)

Cincinnati Bengals (5-2)------------------11-5 beat the Colts (3 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

Indianapolis Colts (5-2)------------------11-5 lose to the Bengals (2 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

WC:

Kansas City Chiefs (7-0)------------------12-4 (5 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

New York Jets (4-3)-----------------------10-6 (2 QUALITY OPPONENTS)

The opinions posted here are those of the administrator of this blog and his loyal readers. They are in no way official comments from the team, and should not be misconstued as such, even though he thinks he could do just as well or even a better job!

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