Vegas NFL Wagering Facts

David Richard-US PRESSWIRE

These 18 Important NFL facts come to us courtesy of RJ Bell from sports wagering information site, Pregame.com:

Coach Shanahan as a home favorite is 3-21 against the spread.

Andy Reid is great on the road, covering over 60% of road games throughout his coaching career.

Road favorite off a bye are 25-4 ATS (Packers this week)

After losing a game, Falcons 18-3 ATS

Falcons Coach Smith 31-15 ATS as favorite

Cowboys at home: covered only 2 of last 12

Tony Romo at home: 2 TDS and 10 INTS

Tony Romo has won 20 of 23 games in November

Andrew Luck on the road: 2 touchdowns, 7 interceptions

Road team has covered all 9 Jags games this season

Jacksonville is only 7th underdog over 2 TDs the past three seasons

Texans: covered 17 of 20 with QB Schaub starting

Cincy: 3-13 ATS when favored by over a field goal (last 6 seasons)

Underdog in Raiders games has covered 10 of 12

Steelers have lost only 1 of last 15 home games (Note: That one loss was to the Ravens last year)

Ravens have won 11 straight against the AFC North (including Steelers 2x)

Josh Freeman: QB rating over 100 each of last FIVE games

If Jets started Tim Tebow,
about half the Vegas pros we talked to would make NO adjustment
about half would downgrade Jets by a half-point

*** Fun Props


What team will Michael Vick start next season with?
Bills: 21% chance
No Team: 18% chance
Cardinals: 14% chance
Jets: 13% chance
Jags: 12% chance
Eagles: 12% chance
Chiefs: 10% chance


Think there will be another tie this regular season?
If there is, $100 wins $1,000


53% chance Andrew Luck will have more touchdowns (passing + rushing) than RG3


29% chance Mike Holmgren will be coaching in the NFL Week 1 next season

*** Value of injured quarterbacks:

Big Ben: 4 points
Jay Cutler: 2 points
Alex Smith: 1.5 points
Michael Vick: 1 point

Other quarterbacks to compare:

P. Manning: 6.5 points
Brady: 6 points
Rogers: 6 points
Ryan: 4 points
E. Manning: 4 points
Stafford: 2 points

Of non-quarterbacks, Adrian Peterson is worth the most (although he is only worth 1-point)
Every other non-QB is worth less than Peterson,
with approximately ONE DOZEN non-QBs worth even a half-point.
Other than that dozen, no other non-QBs in the NFL are individually accounted for by the Vegas spread!

*** Updated BCS Line Projections:

Alabama 1-point favorites over Oregon
(Alabama would still be favored over any team in college football on a neutral field)

Oregon 7-point favorites over Kansas State

Oregon 11-point favorites over Notre Dame

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