NFL Playoffs Odds & Ends

by Bruce Raffel on Jan 5, 2012 10:00 AM EST

The NFL playoff wagering options come from Bovada, who give us the odds to win the Super Bowl, each of the two conferences, as well as possible Super Bowl match-ups, plus some interesting individual proposition bets. The Baltimore Ravens are the fourth choice to win the Big Game, the second betting option to win the AFC and part of the second best odds to face the Green Bay Packers in the Super owl match-up category.

Check them out below, with more after the 'Jump.'

Odds to win the 2012 AFC Conference

New England Patriots 11/10

Baltimore Ravens 9/4

Pittsburgh Steelers 7/2

Houston Texans 16/1

Cincinnati Bengals 25/1

Denver Broncos 25/1

Odds to win the 2012 Super Bowl XLVI

Green Bay Packers 9/5

New England Patriots 4/1

New Orleans Saints 9/2

Baltimore Ravens 8/1

Pittsburgh Steelers 11/1

San Francisco 49ers 11/1

New York Giants 20/1

Atlanta Falcons 35/1

Detroit Lions 40/1

Houston Texans 40/1

Denver Broncos 50/1

Cincinnati Bengals 65/1

Odds to win the 2012 NFC Conference

Green Bay Packers 4/5

New Orleans Saints 11/4

San Francisco 49ers 6/1

New York Giants 10/1

Atlanta Falcons 16/1

Detroit Lions 22/1

Super Bowl XLVI Early Line

AFC +4½

NFC -4½

2012 NFL Playoffs - What will be the match up in Super Bowl XLVI?

Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots 11/4

Green Bay Packers vs. Baltimore Ravens 9/2

Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans 28/1

Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos 40/1

Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 7/1

Green Bay Packers vs. Cincinnati Bengals 40/1

San Francisco 49ers vs. New England Patriots 12/1

San Francisco 49ers vs. Baltimore Ravens 20/1

San Francisco 49ers vs. Houston Texans 100/1

San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos 150/1

San Francisco 49ers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 30/1

San Francisco 49ers vs. Cincinnati Bengals 150/1

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots 13/2

New Orleans Saints vs. Baltimore Ravens 11/1

New Orleans Saints vs. Houston Texans 50/1

New Orleans Saints vs. Denver Broncos 80/1

New Orleans Saints vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 15/1

New Orleans Saints vs. Cincinnati Bengals 80/1

New York Giants vs. New England Patriots 18/1

New York Giants vs. Baltimore Ravens 28/1

New York Giants vs. Houston Texans 150/1

New York Giants vs. Denver Broncos 200/1

New York Giants vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 40/1

New York Giants vs. Cincinnati Bengals 200/1

Atlanta Falcons vs. New England Patriots 30/1

Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens 50/1

Atlanta Falcons vs. Houston Texans 200/1

Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos 300/1

Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 65/1

Atlanta Falcons vs. Cincinnati Bengals 300/1

Detroit Lions vs. New England Patriots 40/1

Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens 65/1

Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans 250/1

Detroit Lions vs. Denver Broncos 350/1

Detroit Lions vs. Pittsburgh Steelers 80/1

Detroit Lions vs. Cincinnati Bengals 350/1

Who will be the next Head Coach of the Bucs?

Mike Sherman 8/5

Brian Billick 2/1

Rob Chudzinski 3/1

Mike Mularkey 3/1

Bill Cowher 10/1

Who will be the next Head Coach of the Rams?

Jeff Fisher 1/1

Field 5/7

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How important was getting a bye...

Fran The Fan – FRAN THE FAN: Orange Crushed

Bye Bye: We’ve been talking for weeks how important it was for the Ravens to get a high seed for a 1st round bye and a home playoff game. The players and coaches wanted it. Our collective fan psyche needed it. But a high seed is also critical from a statistical perspective. A recent article in Advanced NFL Stats, a blog about football and math, makes the telling point that seeding is critically important, especially for the top two teams in each conference. The article states that while home-field advantage is beneficial, it’s the first-round bye which, for all intents and purposes, is an automatic win that essentially doubles a team’s chances of making it to the Super Bowl. Without going into how the numbers were calculated, here are the S.B. probabilities for each seed:

No. 1, 36 percent;

No. 2, 29 percent;

No. 3, 11 percent;

No. 4, 10 percent;

No. 5, 7 percent;

No. 6, 6 percent.

This means that the No. 1 seed has about six times the chance of a wild-card team to make it to the Super Bowl. The No. 2 seed has nearly five times the chance. These are enormous differences. If the Ravens had lost on Sunday and sank to a 5th seed, it would cut their chance of making the Super Bowl by over a factor of four, from 29 percent to 7 percent. No wonder it’s so hard for a Wild Card team to make it to Indianapolis in February.