NFL Picks & Pans: Divisional Playoff Round
While I went 3-1 last week in the Wild Card Round last weekend, the one game I picked wrong was the one game I was so happy to be incorrect on. The final view of the Pittsburgh Steelers looking shocked as they walked off the field, 29-23 losers to the Denver Broncos after the amazing first play of overtime was priceless and worth losing for.
Four games on the docket this weekend in the Divisional Round of the 2012 NFL post season and while I'll pick and pan the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Houston Texans on Sunday morning, here are the three games, two of them today and the other after the Ravens game later Sunday afternoon.
Saints over 49ers: I know a lot of people are picking, much less rooting for Ravens head coach John Harbaugh's brother, Jim, to move onto the NFC Championship Game and a magical repeat match-up with the Ravens in the Super Har-Bowl,but that ain't happening, at least in my humble opinion. As good a defense as San Francisco has, and as tough as they are at home, combined with the less than explosive offense that New Orleans has on the road compared to under the dome at home, I still see Drew Brees putting up points with all the weapons he has and just cannot see Alex Smith keeping pace.
Patriots over Broncos: While I will be rooting once again for Denver QB Tim Tebow, the Lord's choice over the sinfully good Tom Brady, New England just has way too much offense for even a couple of angels overhead to swoop down and lift their favorite team to a victory. A AFC Championship Game in Baltimore sounds pretty darn good, but while I'd once again love to be wrong, this is a much different game than the one that saw such a great ending last week in Denver. The game is in Foxboro, where the Patriots are among the toughest to beat at home, and as poor as the Pats' defense has been, they are great at taking the ball away via interceptions. The miracle season for the "Orange Crush" ends here tonight.
Packers over Giants: I so want to pick New York in what would be considered a pretty huge upset, but picking a visiting team to win on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field in January in the playoffs seems to be just too big of a hurdle to overcome. No matter how well the Giants played last week, they are now facing a much more explosive offense which can throw to at least five high-quality receivers that can break open games off the arm of QB Aaron Rodgers. New York has a balanced offense but at times this season they have played such polar opposite games that I just do not see them putting together two great games two weeks in a row under this type of pressure.
Last Week: 3-1
Season Record: 165-92
BONUS PICKS: Check out Beatdown contributor vlad755's predictions on the games and come back at 9am on Sunday to see his take on the Ravens-Texans game:
This weekend has a very good card for football games. You have the now surging Giants and #1 media market, playing the best football since their SuperBowl winning season and peaking, at arguably the best team in football’s place. Should be a great matchup, but I think Rodgers & Co. will prevail. You then have the irresistible force meets an immovable object game that will be N’Arlins at San Francisco. I really, really, really want to pick The Other Harbaugh in this one, but the Saints offense is about as perfect as Brooklyn Decker in a one size too small two-piece on a Panama City beach with a Frozen margarita machine and some Israel Kamakawiwoole tunes at sunset. So the big head has to trump the heart on this one and say Saints. And of course there will be the game to end all games, that which He’ith will become’ith The One And Only True qb… T-bow at some team that plays outside of Boston. This will block out all others… The interesting thing, let us say the Giants knock off the Packers, or at least make the Packers look real mortal by barely losing, and San Fran is able to slow down Brees and get past the Saints, and the Ravens put on a good, solid show and handily beat the Texans that nobody really notices outside of Baltimore and Houston; and probably doesn’t matter who wins in Foxboro because the headline will be either a) “Brady is BACK!” or b) T-bow Is. That is all it will say, and you would have to be living under a rock on Pluto to not hear about it. Which means our beloved Ravens could find themselves as being the best team in football that is completely flying under the radar and nobody knows about or is paying attention to. I like my chances against a suddenly mortal and/or flawed Packers as I believe only a hitting on all cylinders Packer team has the best chance of beating us, as even Brees & Co. on the turf at Indy, I think we can take ‘em; would relish Harbaugh Bowl II, would do cartwheels with the prospect of a rematch of SuperBowl XXXV, and I believe that we can go to Foxboro and bring yet another tear to Brady’s eye in the process. And don’t even suggest that T-bow, if by some “miracle” got past the Patriots, would come to Baltimore and… don’t even go there… no way he pulls out three in a row, not in Baltimore, not this year. If T-bow were to somehow make it to the SuperBowl, I think I would move to The Maldives, as that would probably be the only place on the planet I could get away from it…
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I like the 49ers today
I think they will force NO to kick field goals and their D will get a few TO’s.
Smith will take care of the ball and make a couple plays.
SF by 3
NO has been insanely aggressive even by their standards. I see them winning but if the 49ers can make them lose a few of those gambles which the Lions failed to do they can definitely win it.
Though while I like the Niners chances, I’m concerned about David Akers not being enough. Gore has to score a TD or two.
I kind of like the Giants this weekend. It’s going to be a HUGE task to go up to GB and pull off an upset, but they just have something about them. They caught fire at the right time in the reg. season and have continued that momentum into the playoffs. They just have that something special going where it seems like its all clicking and are primed to make a run. And IF, big IF, Tebow plays like he did last weekend there could be an upset there too. For as much as I’ve heard folks say that people have slept on HOU D, I think DEN D is even more under rated and less talked about that it should be. If McGahee runs hard with no TOs from Tebow or Willis against a shaky NE D, it’ll be close I think.
"Don't throw it, don't throw it, don't throw it. I know y'all going to throw it, they going to throw it anyway. I wouldn't throw it. Don't do it." - Ed Reed
You say tomato, I say tomahto. You say Six, I say Sweep.
by WestminsterRaven on Jan 14, 2012 1:30 PM EST reply actions
Denver scares the grap out of me
I am no religious fanatic and haven’t seen the inside of a church, but if Denver pulls this game out the Divine Intervention involved just creeps me out.
At this point I’d rather go to Foxboro.
We know we can win there…but those are discussions for Monday.
by RavensfaninTX on Jan 14, 2012 1:57 PM EST up reply actions
http://sportsfanbaltimore.blogspot.com/2012/01/nfl-divisional-round-weekend.html
Check out my predictions here…..I honestly have stats to prove Denver can beat New England lol
what do you when you mix Tim Tebow with Joe Flacco?
Holy Crap….
Go Texans!
"Everywhere you go, there’s the buzz going around the city. Houston has been wanting a winning team here for a long time. We’re glad that we can finally provide that little spark, but we’ve got to go finish." -Arian Foster
"This is a big dogs game - there ain't no puppies out here - aint no puppies out here!!" - Brian Cushing
by JayStation3 on Jan 14, 2012 2:12 PM EST via Android app reply actions
a Helluva cross to bear?
"All our lives we're taught to get in line. The ones who conform never discover." - Undrafted Free Agent and NFL Rushing Leader Arian Foster
When you are eatibg crow after tommorow,
you will have been beaten by a crappy quarterback. What will that say about Texas?
Formerly 88Keys
Uh...nothing?
Far as I know, Texas isn’t playing football tomorrow.
"How can an idiot be a policeman? Answer me that!"
-Chief Inspector Dreyfus
"the one game I picked wrong was the one game I was so happy to be incorrect on."
Me too! I was as shocked as Pittsburgh was, but gladly so.
Formerly 88Keys
This game will be closer than you think 23-20
A Texans fan here The Texans and Ravens will play a close game. I don’t think it will be a blowout like many of you think but we shall see
My Official Pick
For the Ravens was the Ravens 24 – 20 in another post. Above, I was just hypothesizing that if the Packers lost or looked bad winning in a squeaker and if the Patriots were to lay an egg, then the Ravens would the best team in football that would be flying under the radar and nobody would be talking about, if the Ravens were to win in dominant fashion.
Just a scenario I was laying out. Given recent events, this is not going to be possible no matter the outcome of today’s tilt between the Texans and the Ravens because everybody is going to be talking about how unstoppable Brady and patsies are (unless Rodgers puts on a similar show this evening – then it will be forgone conclusion that it will be a Packers-Patriots SuperBowl yada yada yada).
I agree that in all likely hood, it will be close game this afternoon. I have stated this before: the fact that Vegas has the Ravens as anywhere from -7.5 to -9 is just crazy…
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