There has been a ton of confusion from fans, players, media, and well, everybody as far as the scenarios.Obviously the simplest way would be NE or HOU to lose so we get the #1 or #2 seed locked if we win out. However, if there is a 3 way tie then it gets a little confusing, so I'm going to do my best to clear this up for everybody. These are the rules in order according to NFL.com. These are the wild card tie breakers and these are the same tie breakers applied to a three team tie who are in different divisions.
Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
None of us are in the same division, so onto the next one.
2.Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
This one is ruled out because we haven't played the pats and they haven't played the texans.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference
If we all win out we would all finish with a 10-2 conference record so again that is thrown out.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Because there is a minimum of four games and all 3 teams have to face the same opponents this one gets thrown out as well.
Strength of victory.
I was misinformed on this previously and strength of victory is the combined record of teams you have beaten. Pats .418 Texans .403 Ravens .519
Strength of schedule.
More than likely rule 5 would decide it, but just thought I would throw out the next one just to let you guys now. As mentioned, the easiest way to get a first round bye is for Hou or NE to lose a game and we win out.
Thanks OC52 for clearing this up. This is the updated picture and as you can see the Ravens strength of victory is much higher than Texans and Pats. Again sorry for the confustion so if we win out we will be the #1 seed
Bal: SD (6-7), Cle (4-9), Cin (7-9)
NE: Den (8-5), Mia (4-9), Buff (5-8)
Hou: Car (4-9), Ind (0-12), Tenn (7-6)