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Ravens Offensive Line Model & Notes vs. Jets

Gamblers will tell you that your results will often be a function of the results on your large bets.  For example, if you typically bet $50 on 10 games a week, but bet $500 the 10 times all season that you think you see a good opportunity, your overall results are going to be highly skewed by your success on those 10 bets, even if you post an outstanding winning percentage (let’s say 55%) on the 170 small bets.

How did that relate to Sunday night's 34-17 victory over the New York Jets?  Baltimore Ravens QB Joe Flacco had 4 throws intended for Torrey Smith that had risk, but the possibility of much greater reward.  Had he connected on 1, his night would have improved significantly and had he completed all 4, we’d be in agreement that he’d had a fine game against a good pass defense despite lingering accuracy concerns.

 

Flacco targeted Torrey Smith on each of the 4 plays in question: 

 

·         (Q1, 12:41):  Jets CB Darrelle Revis had single, press coverage on Smith down the right sideline.  The Ravens used the now-familiar fake run left to make time for a longer route to develop as Flacco rolled right off play action.  Vonta Leach was the lone blocker in front of him and Flacco had ample time to set up and throw as Pace maintained a short middle zone in front of Leach.  Flacco’s slightly overthrew Smith who eventually had Revis beat by half a step.  It was good coverage by Revis who obstructed Smith’s original break off the line and slowed him with hand checking for the last 15 yards.

(Click on the 'Jump' to read more on this and the offensive line's performance)

Star-divide

·         (Q1, 6:44):  Torrey Smith ran a post route from a bunch formation right.  Torrey had Leonard beaten in the end zone, as Flacco unleashed a missile towards the right goalpost.  However, Eric Smith who was at the 2-yard line near the right hash (approximately 6 yards in front of Torrey) leapt and got a piece of the ball to avert the TD.  Flacco again had ample time and space, but with a standard pocket.

·         (Q1, 4:09):  Torrey Smith was again lined up in a bunch right before Leach motioned into the I formation.  This time Smith got single coverage from Eric Smith between the hash and the right numbers.  The line of scrimmage was the 42 and Flacco’s arcing pass was underthrown, causing Torrey to slow and leap near the 10.  In that circumstance I like the chances for Torrey to either outmuscle/outleap the Jets’ safety or draw a pass interference call, but Eric got a piece of the ball, and it fell incomplete.

·         (Q2, 6:30):  Smith was lined up wide right and covered by CB Antonio Cromartie.  Flacco set up to throw in a standard pocket, but was pressured and hit by Bart Scott who beat Andre Gurode on a delayed blitz.  Joe overthrew Smith by 5 yards down the right sideline.  Cromartie was even with Smith but Torrey had inside position which opened up the inside of the field well behind Leonard.

This night he didn’t connect on any of these longballs, but future opponents are going to respect the Ravens willingness to throw deep.  When Lee Evans returns, both the Ravens run game and short passing game should improve.

 

The Ravens had 70 offensive snaps, excluding their 3 kneels:

LT Bryant McKinnie:  Bryant had a fine game as a pass blocker with no contributions to negative plays as I scored it.  Let’s face it, that’s what is most important at left tackle.  His run blocking is another matter and a source of some frustration each week.  He simply doesn’t contribute much when the play is run up the middle or to the opposite side.  That can take several forms from releasing his block too early (see his touch-and-release effort vs. Westerman Q3, 10:35) to shuffling into level 2 without making an attempt to block or even obstruct anyone.  He had 2 pancakes and 2 blocks in level 2.  I believe the Ravens aren’t running much to the left now both because their strong run blockers are on the right and Gurode is playing poorly.  However, McKinnie would look better if more of the runs were to his side.  Scoring:  62 blocks, 8 missed, 62 points (.89 per play). 

 

Andre Gurode:  Andre was spun by Devito for a QH on the Ravens first play from scrimmage (Q1, 14:52).  He would surrender a 2nd QH to Bart Scott who beat him inside with a delayed blitz (Q2, 6:33).  Scott beat him for a pressure with an earlier delayed blitz (Q1, 3:18).  He was flagged for holding Harris who had beaten him to negate Rice’s 4-yard run (Q1, 11:35).   To cap off the night, he allowed penetration by Pitoitua which resulted in a 4-yard loss for Rice (Q4, 3:37).  He did not attempt to pull, but had 9 blocks in level 2 and 2 pancakes.  While he made some contributions to the running game with those second-level blocks, the Ravens successful and time consuming 3rd quarter drive was all runs to the right behind Marshal Yanda and Michael Oher.  Scoring:  61 blocks, 5 missed, 1 penetration, 1 pressure, 2 QHs, 1 holding, 45 points (.64 per play).  Since the Ravens lost Ben Grubbs they have had 3 lousy performances at LG.

 

Matt Birk:  Matt had another solid outing.  He again avoided pass blocking mistakes and his biggest error was the false start on the bad snap.  My concern with Birk isn’t the lack of push he is getting, but the way he is occasionally pushed well back into the backfield.  On Sunday Pouha did that twice to him (Q4, 11:50 and Q4, 8:31).  Neither play resulted in a loss, but those are the type of penetration that can blow up a running play or cause a sack.  He had 4 blocks in level 2 and 2 pancakes.  He and Yanda are playing very well together.  It would be terrific if Birk could integrate his efforts more effectively with Gurode the way he had with Grubbs, but most of Andre’s problems have been cases where he has been beaten inside.  Scoring:  68 blocks, 2 missed, 1 false start, 65 points (.93 per play).

 

Marshal Yanda:   There isn’t a guard in the NFL playing any better right now.  I have scored him with less than a full QH (5/6 vs. the Rams) and no other pass blocking errors in 4 games.  The Ravens unleashed the run-right-until-you-prove-you-can-stop-us offense midway through the third quarter.  Yanda was the linchpin with 5 blocks in level 2 and 1 pancake as the Ravens ran 7:26 off the clock with 4 first downs, no passes, and 11 consecutive runs to the right.  Marshal’s 2 highlight blocks on the drive were a 9-yard bulldozing of Devito (Q3, 4:29) and a 6-yard push on the giant Pitoitua (Q3, 3:53).  For the game, he had 11 blocks in level 2 and 2 pancakes.  He pulled successfully on his only attempt.  Scoring:  67 blocks, 3 missed, 67 points (.96 per play).

 

Michael Oher:  This game he wasn’t penalized, but gave up parts of 5 separate negative events.  He got a full charge for the sack (Q2, 5:24) which was triggered by a pair of delayed blitzes.  Eric Smith first beat him to the inside then Brodney Pool beat him outside.  Pace beat him outside for a QH (Q2, 13:29).  He shared a penetration on the play that resulted in Ricky Williams’ fumble (Q4, 10:23).  The rookie who stuck to a jersey and blocked past the whistle has changed his style, but he did manage to get Bart Scott upset with him to the point he got up, straddled Oher, and punched him in the chest (Q3, 6:36).  I scored him with 6 blocks in level 2 and 2 pancakes.  Scoring:  62 blocks, 3 missed, 1 pressure, 1.5 penetrations, 1 QH, 1 sack, 48 points (.69 per play).  Schematically, the Jets defense is excellent at exposing weakness and indecision.  Michael was a victim Sunday.

 

For the full column with more offensive notes, please visit:

http://www.ravens24x7.com/columnists/Ken-McKusick/articles

The opinions posted here are those of the administrator of this blog and his loyal readers. They are in no way official comments from the team, and should not be misconstued as such, even though he thinks he could do just as well or even a better job!

Comment 16 comments  |  7 recs  | 

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May 2012 by Bruce Raffel - 23 comments

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by Evan Skev on Oct 6, 2011 10:57 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Promoting on Friday morning

Amazing detail. A great read for the most well versed fan and those whomwant to be.

Thanks forthese breakdowns.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Oct 7, 2011 12:06 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Deep balls to Smith

Thanks for the breakdown on the balls to Torrey. You confirmed what I siad on the Leonard coverage. More often than not that pass will (or should) be caught. I would rather see Joe underthrow the ball in that situation than overthrow it. In fact, I would even throw out there that perhaps Joe intentionally underthrew it when he saw Torrey one-on-one with the safety.

"What we've got here is failure to communicate."

by Fandemonium on Oct 7, 2011 12:34 AM EDT reply actions  

I would have to disagree. Underthrowing the ball gives a defense a chance to make a play. On the first deep ball Torrey could’ve had it, but he was too busy fighting with Revis.

by Raven_all_day on Oct 7, 2011 11:05 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Then we'll just have to disagree

Hitting a guy in stride who is 50 yards away and running flat out is damn hard. But when you have your 6’0" receiver running one-on-one with a 5’8" safety, I’ll take my chances he can high point the ball and come down with it more often than not.

"What we've got here is failure to communicate."

by Fandemonium on Oct 7, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Deep balls and passing stats

Here’s an interesting stat:

In 2010, passes thrown behind the line of scrimmage were completed 87.2% of the time. Passes between 0 and 10 yards were completed 72.3% of the time, between 10 and 20 yards the number dropped to 55.8%, and passes beyond 20 yards were completed just 33.8% of the time.

So even if the underthrown ball to Torrey was a 50/50 chance, that is still statisically a better odds pass.

"What we've got here is failure to communicate."

by Fandemonium on Oct 7, 2011 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

So even if the underthrown ball to Torrey was a 50/50 chance, that is still statisically a better odds pass.

Any incomplete pass due to defensive interference is also a victory for the offense, as well.

Water covers 2/3 of the Earth's surface. Ed Reed covers the rest.

State your case, back it up with facts and reasonable opinions ...
Bruce Raffel

by Ampallang on Oct 7, 2011 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great point. That is one of the more likely passes to get the interference call.

Give Jim Leonhard some props – he made a very nice play on that ball.

"What we've got here is failure to communicate."

by Fandemonium on Oct 7, 2011 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

very nice

I was under the impression Gurode was playing well.. good to know!

Don't let my defense dictate your offense..

by lastcallbmore on Oct 7, 2011 11:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Gurode has been getting schooled

Which happened to him in St. Louis when Justin Bannan tore him up and had a great game. However, the lack of sacks is what I want to see and the hell with the rest. However, notice how the Ravens ran most of their late-game run plays to Yanda/Oher’s side against the Jets? Says something. They ALWAYS ran to JO/Mulitalo’s side way back when.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Oct 7, 2011 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I keep hearing that NFL is more of a pass-friendly game than run-friendly

I don’t really know why, but I assume it’s on account of officiating rules protecting the QB?Or is it because of defenses? I don’t know.

Yet some QBs seem to be struggling this year, like Flacco? I wonder if the game is shifting towards run-heavy offenses this season? Or is that just misguided/too early to tell?

by rsty on Oct 7, 2011 4:26 PM EDT reply actions  

It’s definitely leading towards a passing league. Some of that as you said are rules and other is just strategy. Guys are a lot more athletic then they used to be so if you can get a guy 1 on 1 with somebody you can use that athletic ability to exploit them. I believe there have been records for most 300 yards passing games so far into a season, so it’s definitely still a pass happy league. Flacco also threw a career high against the Rams and had a nice game against the Steelers as well. Flacco’s problems have been that he has faced some tough defenses, along with working a brand new group of receivers and some inconsistent line play, but that should all work itself out as the season goes on.

On Ed Reed:
"I’ve told him to his face many times, ‘You’re the greatest safety ever to play the game,’"
"We all learn from each other, but we all learn most from him."
- Troy Polamalu

by AV23 on Oct 7, 2011 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s good, I hope it works out. I do like when they “air” it out!

by rsty on Oct 7, 2011 9:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

His completion percentage is down, but that has more to do with us being a more attacking, aggressive offense this year as well. We used to be a lot more conservative and you’d see a lot more 5-7 yard throws where a guy would have to make a play in order to get extra yardage, but as you’ve seen in the last 2 games, we have been taking a lot of shots down the field.

Like you mentioned, once everything starts to gel a little more, that stat will also get better and he’ll be much more productive.

by Mstevens_Design on Oct 8, 2011 1:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

Its a little disheartening that Oher is consistently one of our worst OL game after game. If he had any penalties, it would have pushed him right back as the worst this game to match his other performances.

The line as a whole has been doing fairly well and I take Gurode’s issues as him being relatively new to our team and to the LG position. Oher though really has no excuses for his performance especially given moving him back to RT where he excelled his rookie year. Hopefully he gets his stuff worked out because its a shame to see him waste a huge amount of talent and promise when we all know he can perform better.

by Mstevens_Design on Oct 8, 2011 1:09 AM EDT reply actions  

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