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NFL Picks & Pans: Week 7

The Baltimore Ravens play at the Jacksonville Jaguars on Monday Night Football this week, so I plan on putting up my "pick & pan" of their game on Monday, but after a second solid week picking the winners in the NFL, I am now hitting two-thirds of my picks on a consistent basis, with 19 out of my last 26 games correct.

Unfortunately, both of my "Upset Specials" could not back me up, with the Washington Redskins and Minnesota Vikings looked terrible in losses to the Philadelphia Eagles and Chicago Bears, respectively. Perhaps we will improve in that category, so let's get right to it.

Chargers over Jets: Despite this game being in New York Jersey, San Diego is a much better team than New York's last opponent (Miami) and San Diego is uncharacteristically playing solid ball early in the season and should have too much offense for an over-rated Jets team.

Buccaneers over Bears (London, England): Across the pond, I like Tampa over Chicago, even though the Bucs looked horrible in San Francisco two weeks ago but solid beating the New Orleans last week. Da' Bears may have beaten a terrible Vikings team but this will be a much tougher match-up in what actually counts as an "Upset Special Pick of the Week."

Star-divide

Browns over Seahawks: I'd be thrilled if Seattle can go on the road and win again after they did just that to the NY Giants a few weeks ago. However, Cleveland is such an up-and-down team that I'm guessing they will be "up" this week but could go either way.

Falcons over Lions: Despite looking pretty average so far in 2011, don't count Atlanta out of the playoff race just yet, as they will try to pin another home loss on just-beaten Detroit team that is more in the news for their coach's objection to the post-game handshake than they are for losing their first game of the season. This game is just another of my many "Upset Special Picks of the Week."

Redskins over Panthers: Carolina has played well above their heads with an excellent performance from rookie QB Cam Newton, although Washington has a relentless defense that should be able to track him down and into making mistakes as the new "era" in Redskins QB-ing begins with former Ravens backup, John Beck. This too, is another "Upset Special Pick of the Week."

Titans over Texans: If this game were in Houston, I'd be taking the Texans but since it is in Tennessee, I am going with the hosts in a game that should shed a bright light on which team will take control of the AFC South.

Broncos over Dolphins: It's "Tim Tebow Time" and long overdue by most people's standards. Tebow's presence might make this more of a home than away game as nobody in Miami is very happy, although they do stand a decent chance of winning, not so much in this game, but in the "Suck For (Andrew) Luck" Sweepstakes.

Steelers over Cardinals: Pittsburgh still refuses to cooperate and drop back in the pack as they should be able to pick apart the Arizona defense and physically put a beating on my fantasy team's QB, Kevin Kolb.

Raiders over Chiefs: Welcome back to the starting lineup, Kyle Boller! I like Oakland over Kansas City more because of RB Darren McFadden than the thought of Boller under center and have seen the continuing downward spiral of the Chiefs since the Ravens gave everyone else the blueprint for beating them last year in the playoffs.

Packers over Vikings: Let's see,...and undefeated Green Bay team up against a one-win Vikings team with a rookie QB starting his first career NFL game. Enough said here, don't you think?

Cowboys over Rams: Even if Sam Bradford was completely healthy and starting for St. Louis, 'd still be taking Dallas, as not even Cowboys QB Tony Romo should be able to blow this one in the game's final moments, which he is becoming an expert at doing in 2011.

Saints over Colts (Sunday Night Football): Had Indianapolis QB Peyton Manning been healthy, this would have been a great game in this prime-time slot, but without him, it should be ugly and over early. New Orleans just has too many weapons and should be able to outscore the Colts, although something tells me "outscore" will be  a stretch for the offensively-challenged Indy team.

Last Week:  9-4

Season Record:  60-30

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More from Baltimore Beat Down

The Top 100: Players Of 2012

Apr 2012 by Bruce Raffel - 33 comments

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Jets have to play Chargers, Bills, Pats in their next 3 games. I say they end up 3-6 after that stretch.

Flacco has to trust his receivers to make catches, but shouldn’t throw towards coverage. He needs to attack deep more often, but shouldn’t hold onto the ball so long. He needs to show more awareness in the pocket and move to extend plays, but nothing good comes of him leaving the pocket. He should run with the ball if nobody’s open, but he definitely can’t run with the ball.

Flacco should have the awareness of Roethlisberger, the elusiveness of Vick, the control of the offense of Manning, the leadership of Brady, the accuracy of Brees, and the arm strength of … Flacco? - Ampallang

by Mr MaLoR on Oct 22, 2011 3:05 PM EDT reply actions  

and pitt plays cards, pats, Ravens, bungles… 4-6 headed into the bye

aaron smith is done for the season

by Evan Skev on Oct 22, 2011 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aaron Smith being done for the year is not the worst thing. He was getting dominated. He’s done. I think he just benched himself because he don’t have it. His replacement will be an upgrade
but so far you’re 0-1 on that 3 game stretch. We’ll see next week

by FrankWyt on Oct 23, 2011 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jimmy Smith probable for the Jax game

discounting the 1 play he participated in, it’s gonna be good to see him make his Ravens debut. Work him in slowly so he’s fully ready by Nov 6 at Pitt.

by YeahDonnie on Oct 22, 2011 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

also

Grubbs and Evans ruled out, Carr questionable. Hopefully we’ll have all those guys back by the Steelers game, it’ll be a tough game, so if we can be full strength that’ll be huge.

by YeahDonnie on Oct 22, 2011 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

honestly, as long as we get evans back by the chargers game, we should be good

pittsburgh game is obviously preferable, but that doesn’t look likely… as long as he gets a couple regular season games under his belt, we’ll be go- GREAT

by fedfan64 on Oct 22, 2011 4:30 PM EDT reply actions  

I am not sure they will wait that long. I give Evans 3 more weeks, and if he is not back, they will IR him. We will need that roster spot late in the season. It will be similar to Gaither last year, where we finally IR’d him late in the season hoping that he would come back earlier.

But I am optimistic about Evans. I think he could probably play if he had to, but will be a bonus once we do get him back.

Flacco has to trust his receivers to make catches, but shouldn’t throw towards coverage. He needs to attack deep more often, but shouldn’t hold onto the ball so long. He needs to show more awareness in the pocket and move to extend plays, but nothing good comes of him leaving the pocket. He should run with the ball if nobody’s open, but he definitely can’t run with the ball.

Flacco should have the awareness of Roethlisberger, the elusiveness of Vick, the control of the offense of Manning, the leadership of Brady, the accuracy of Brees, and the arm strength of … Flacco? - Ampallang

by Mr MaLoR on Oct 22, 2011 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

You’re hired

by Evan Skev on Oct 23, 2011 12:29 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I would like to see Laquan and Doss produce a little more. But Dickson is playing a role so I am not worried.

by Raven_all_day on Oct 22, 2011 8:25 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

we have so much talent at the skill positions… Rice, Boldin, Smith, Dickson… quan and doss are at the end of the line for targets

by Evan Skev on Oct 22, 2011 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about when Evans comes back.

by Raven_all_day on Oct 22, 2011 9:17 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

best case is that he comes back and dominates at his position… worst case is he goes on IR…

but i smell something fishy… i played ball and was never out two months with a high ankle sprain… i wasn’t evans’ age but i also didn’t have a staff of trainers at my disposal…

im probably wrong but i just think it seems weird that he isn’t back at iverson

by Evan Skev on Oct 22, 2011 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

they can last that long depending on the severity. I also have suffered one before and they can be tricky. Really easy to aggravate and sometimes feel like it’s better until you actually get out there on it. I think mine put me out 6-7 weeks and I still was only about 80% coming back from it.

On Ed Reed:
"I’ve told him to his face many times, ‘You’re the greatest safety ever to play the game,’"
"We all learn from each other, but we all learn most from him."
- Troy Polamalu

by AV23 on Oct 22, 2011 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Damn..ok…hope that’s the case

by Evan Skev on Oct 23, 2011 12:18 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Last yr Lee was IR’d the last three games of the season for an ankle injury, I hope this doesn’t spell IR for this season.

by Raven_all_day on Oct 23, 2011 1:52 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

What happens if Torrey continues producing

when Evans is ready to play? I’m sure we
Ut all three, with Boldin out there, but ya think Joe looks for Evans before looking first to Q and Torrey?

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Oct 24, 2011 12:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Evan finally gets to see an NFL game today! There’s nothing wrong with foot juggling soccer balls (american for football evan) at tailgate. Just don’t hit the grill and knock your smoldering cod onto the concrete.

by raven on Oct 23, 2011 11:58 AM EDT reply actions  

You’ve been terrible the past few weeks… Lay off the sauce

by Evan Skev on Oct 23, 2011 12:30 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

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