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NFL Picks & Pans: Week 1

Here we go for the first weekend of the 2010 regular season. Coming off a great 2009, I will be hard pressed to equal last year's showing, although frankly I don't remember my record. However, let's start off with a winning weekend and even though I didn't make a pick for this past Thursday night, I would have taken the Saints over the Vikings, so I'm already 1-0!

Bucs over Browns: Will someone wake me when this one is over? Somebody has to win, right?

Bills over Dolphins:I think this is a trap game for the bettors as winning opening day on the road in division is still a tough task, even against a weaker team like Buffalo and Miami has not looked good in the pre season.

Pats over Bengals:Here's hoping Cincy starts off 0-2 (Ravens play there next weekend). Tom Brady is rich again after his new contract and wants to earn every red cent!

Steelers over Falcons:Love to see Pittsburgh go 0-4 without Big Ben, but to expect Atlanta to go on the road on opening day and win is a bit much, even for Matt Ryan.

Star-divide

Texans over Colts: Why not, it's about time, isn't it? Matt Schaub is an All-Pro and wants to prove that Houston can compete and win for a change over Indy and Peyton.

Jags over Broncos: Denver is still a bit of a mess and MJD will recover in time to put up some great fantasy stats.

Titans over Raiders: Bet the house on this one, as it appears to be the closest thing to the lock of the week as any of the games.

Giants over Panthers: Which Eli will show up to open the New Meadowlands a day before the Ravens own that house on Monday night?

Bears over Lions: Detroit has absolutely improved, but that's not saying much, despite a weak Bears team that has stocked up during the off season to improve their defense as well.

Cards over Rams: Even Derek Anderson can lead Arizona over the Rams and their newest multi-millionaire who hasn't thrown a pass yet.

Pack over Eagles: Donovan McNabb might be gone and Kevin Kolb might still throw for over 300 yards, but it won't be enough to beat one of the Super Bowl favorites as Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers is even better than that.

Seahawks over 49ers: My first "Upset Special Pick of the Week" as the favorite San Francisco blows it against the reeling Seattle team that needs to start off decent this season.

Cowboys over 'Skins (Sunday Night Football):Tony Romo will have enough targets and success over an offensively-challenged Washington home team, even with a new QB in McNabb.

Chargers over Chiefs (Monday Night Football):San Diego wins a closer game than you might think as Kansas City plays tough at home and I even wouldn't be surprised (and pleased) if the Chiefs pull the upset in this prime time game.

NOTE: I'll pick and pan the Ravens at Jets MNF game on Monday morning.

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Bucs and Browns

For some reason when you get two less then average teams together it usually turns into pretty watchable football…watch this turns into one of the games of the week lol.

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 7:20 AM EDT reply actions  

Uhhh,....

doubtful, very slim to none chance. Possibly no one will even see them on Comcast’s RedZone as neither team may make it into the RZ!

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Browns vs Lions from 2009?

39-38, with Stafford throwing a game winner on the last play. I think BL3ACH is right, this game could be exciting because of how evenly matched the teams are.

by King Raven on Sep 12, 2010 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Also,

Bengals-Browns a few years ago, 51-45?

"Give us 10 points and the game is over...And they didn't score on us. Make sure you quote that. They didn't score on our defense."

by organizedchaos52 on Sep 12, 2010 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

There is ZERO

offensive firepower n both teams now, as there were a bunch of offensive stars back then.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Colts at Texans

I picked Houston to win one of the games against the Colts this year. Since Texans are home they have a better chance to win this game then the one at Lucas Oil imo

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 7:24 AM EDT reply actions  

uhhh...Disagree with the Bengals pick

I think Cincy wins.
I think Skins’s win over Dallas, the Dallas O-line is a mess

@BL3ACH I wouldn’t be surprised, one of my 5 predictions to start the season was that the colts don’t win the division this year, I wouldn’t be surprised if it starts today.

by RedTurtle on Sep 12, 2010 8:39 AM EDT reply actions  

I think Cincy is good but then again

in NE on opening day, they should find a way to hand it to the Pats.

Might be emotionally biased against DC, but can’t see them winning many this season.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think Cincy wins because of the lack of experience of the Pats secondary. Last time these two teams met with Palmer starting was a 28-35 Pats victory, I think the Bengals have gotten better and the Patriots defense isn’t going to get pressure and isn’t going to defend downfield well.

I hate the Redskins as much as anybody, but I think they have a lot of winnable games on their schedule and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them in the playoffs.

(I’m not sure it’s appropriate on this board but I could very easily post my predictions for the season somewhere)

by RedTurtle on Sep 12, 2010 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

You.

I like you. Keep being cool.

by Doc Scratch on Sep 12, 2010 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Post them in a FanPost and people can comment

but then again, if you’re still picking the Bengals to beat the Pats (24-0 as I write this), perhpas you might not want to make too many predictions openly! Jess funnin’ you, though. Sort of….

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Titans do seem like a lock...

But I beileve that SEA is going to be the worst team in the NFL this season. With that said, I think SF over SEA is about as close to a lock as you can get.

by Dynamo38 on Sep 12, 2010 9:59 AM EDT reply actions  

Still...

winning n the road in division, be it Miami at Buffalo or SF at Seattle, is tough and Mtt Hasselbeck is still there, although on his way out, but then again, to many, so is Ray Lewis!

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

Playing a road division game is tough for sure...

but both BUF and SEA are under new leadership. Neither guy has been around the pros for awhile. On the other hand, Singletary and Spagnolo are eager to get out of the gate 1-0. Again, just my humble opinion.

by Dynamo38 on Sep 12, 2010 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

I actually disagree

Titans don’t seem like much of a lock against the greatly-improved Raiders. That team’s taken major steps forward and are actually giving Asomugha a pass rush so he can actually become better. It’s not Detroit’s DLine but the Raiders have put together a very good one too.

They don’t even need to entirely stop Chris Johnson, they just need to slow him down enough that Campbell can run it. Hell, I may watch this game today just because I want to see how much the Raiders have improved.

by Doc Scratch on Sep 12, 2010 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

I have the raiders winning at least 8 games but I don’t know about playoffs

by RedTurtle on Sep 12, 2010 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

I completely agree....

you look at their record without Purple Drank, they beat a lot of quality teams. Campbell is a huge upgrade to what they had before. I may be insane, but I could see the Raiders walking away with the division if their defense plays tough and their o-line doesn’t get the QB killed.

"The ball always seems to find Ed Reed...The man is a menace"

by UMBC Oriole fan on Sep 12, 2010 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

NOW ITS TIME FOR

CARL’S STONE COLD LOCK OF THE CENTURY… OF DA WEEK!!!

Doesn’t it have to be San Diego over KC? I feel like that’s the obvious one.

Damn one of these weekends I’m going to Charlestown WV to do some GAMBLING and put up some 3 team teasers and parlays and drink my way through a perfectly good Sunday! Maybe next weekend???

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 12, 2010 10:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Bueller is at a Cubs game...

How are the Cardinals a lock for anything? I mean, this is a garbage franchise that would have absolutely nothing to say for themselves if it weren’t for Kurt Warner resurrecting himself over there. They make horrible personnel moves. They just lost Dansby AND Rolle. While I like DA and I feel like he could do well there, I just don’t expect them to click week 1. This team could be as bad as 4-12.

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 12, 2010 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

+1 on this
How are the Cardinals a lock for anything? I mean, this is a garbage franchise that would have absolutely nothing to say for themselves if it weren’t for Kurt Warner resurrecting himself over there. They make horrible personnel moves.

by Ravens One on Sep 12, 2010 5:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Except

they are playing the hapless Rams, that even yle Boller got cut from.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

in a word

no

They don’t have warner, the defense isn’t as good, and Steven Jackson is well rested

by RedTurtle on Sep 12, 2010 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Do they have a sportsbook there?

I thought it was just slots and table games.

by Dynamo38 on Sep 12, 2010 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

My picks

Picked Saints over Vikings: you can look it up
Dolphins over Bills: Hard not to be ready for the 1st game of the season, trap or no trap.
Titans over Raiders: but Raiders keep it close
Jags over Broncos: the start of a long, dismal season for Denver
Giants over Panthers: wipeout
Colts over Texans: Not sure Texans are quite ready to overtake Peyton’s team
Falcons over Steelers: Dixon fails
Bucs over Browns: Home field advantage takes this one
Cincy over NE: I think Pats are overrated and their D will get creamed
Lions over Bears: Lions will surprise this year and be decent
Packers over Eagles: Eagles D gets carved up
49ers over Seahawks: should not be even close
Cards over Rams: although tempted to pick the upset here
Cowboys over Skins: Haynesworth traded at half time
Chargers over Chiefs: too much O still left in the Chargers tank
Ravens over Jets: by 13

"What we've got here is failure to communicate."

by Fandemonium on Sep 12, 2010 11:03 AM EDT reply actions  

So far....

ouch on these picks. Let me know hw you end up and I will post my results next week.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

8-6

that should really be 9-5 isn’t that bad for Week 1

"Give us 10 points and the game is over...And they didn't score on us. Make sure you quote that. They didn't score on our defense."

by organizedchaos52 on Sep 13, 2010 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lesson #1

Beware of picking road teams – even against inferior opponents, Teams picked to compete for their division title and/or Super Bowl contneders that lost on the road:
• Colts: lost at Houston
• Chargers: lost at KC
• Atlanta: lost at Pitt
• Cincy: lost at NE
• SFO: lost at Seattle
• Dal: lost at Skins

Makes you realize how big the Ravens win really was – even if it was ugly.

"What we've got here is failure to communicate."

by Fandemonium on Sep 14, 2010 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

You're right except:

Broncos over Jags: That defense is just awful
Panthers over G-men: Gut feeling
Steelers over Falcons: Falcons defense is more scheme than talent, I think Dixon might be serviceable here.
Browns over Bucs (it’s not a home field when the fans don’t show up)
Skins over Cowboys: Cowboys are missing half their starting offensive line

and if I had to pick another upset, I’d go Texans over Colts…I have no idea why, just a gut feeling

by RedTurtle on Sep 12, 2010 11:21 AM EDT reply actions  

Wow Leonard Weaver looks badly hurt. He was crying as they carried him off the field.

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 12, 2010 5:08 PM EDT reply actions  

yeah man that didn't look good

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

acl

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 12, 2010 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

None of you are probably watching the Rams game, but we just got our first taste of a Clayton clutch drop.

3rd and 15, wide open, through his hands. Possible TD.

Shurmur, your career is in 3rd and long. Don't run a draw.
Onobun > Gates

by Carneros on Sep 12, 2010 5:09 PM EDT reply actions  

wowsers. sorry to hear that.

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 12, 2010 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I feel for you guys. Every game is serious for the Rams, and Clayton just can’t be trusted when the pressure’s on.

Water covers 2/3 of the Earth's surface. Ed Reed covers the rest.

by Ampallang on Sep 12, 2010 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nvm

He just made up for it with a great catch.

Shurmur, your career is in 3rd and long. Don't run a draw.
Onobun > Gates

by Carneros on Sep 12, 2010 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, the inconsistency is maddening.

Water covers 2/3 of the Earth's surface. Ed Reed covers the rest.

by Ampallang on Sep 12, 2010 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

7 catches

79 yards. Not a bad first half for him.

"Give us 10 points and the game is over...And they didn't score on us. Make sure you quote that. They didn't score on our defense."

by organizedchaos52 on Sep 12, 2010 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

One big drop and false start.

But other than that, I like him. He was seemingly our only receiver for much of the first half.

Shurmur, your career is in 3rd and long. Don't run a draw.
Onobun > Gates

by Carneros on Sep 12, 2010 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lol

receiver false starts. I don’t miss those.

"Give us 10 points and the game is over...And they didn't score on us. Make sure you quote that. They didn't score on our defense."

by organizedchaos52 on Sep 12, 2010 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

bro you think everyone is going to have a good year

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 12, 2010 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

*directv,

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 5:41 PM EDT reply actions  

That's typical Clayton

Makes great catch, misses easy one. At least he caught Bradford’s first NFL completion.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Sep 12, 2010 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aside from that game against NE...

Clayton generally never dropped the ball. We just never knew how to utilize the guy, he wasn’t a first round pick for nothing.

by mlb32001 on Sep 12, 2010 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

You're thinking of

Clarence Moore.

"Give us 10 points and the game is over...And they didn't score on us. Make sure you quote that. They didn't score on our defense."

by organizedchaos52 on Sep 12, 2010 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

anybody watching the eagles versus the ackers game

look like the eagles might miss mcnabb but they should make micheal vick the starter he bought some life to the eagles

by jazz20 on Sep 12, 2010 6:34 PM EDT reply actions  

I just flipped back and forth...

watching cards v sea and cards v rams…Kolb wasn’t hurt??? I knew Vick was in but I just assumed something hapened to Kolb..
.
If not you are right that would be FAIL on such a large scale, it would not even be measurable…lol

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

kolb had concussion

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

The NFL has not been playing around with concussion injuries

I would think Kolb would have to miss atleast 3-4 weeks. The official time table is 2-6 weeks.

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

* I might of confused the 2-6 weeks with Stafford

I don’t think Kolb has a timetable on his return.

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 13, 2010 12:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

he did hve a couple of big drops but...

I watched pretty much the whole game, he had some big time catches and stepped up being the primary receiver for Bradford.

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 12, 2010 8:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bradford is gonna be good. Once he gets some real weapons there, watch out.

by BmoreBlitz on Sep 13, 2010 8:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think so. He looked amazingly sharp for being a rookie last night. I get why everyone is so crazy about this kid.

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 13, 2010 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

+1 but it still was only 1 game...

"Sorry bro, he Jason Bourned me"- Drama

by BL3ACH on Sep 13, 2010 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

true but i can’t think of a singe QB who looked that good in his debut. Flacco sure didn’t.

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 13, 2010 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

A Win is a WIn is a Win

Flacco won his first game. It was against the Bengals. 15 of 29, 129 yards, no TD’s, no turnovers, 63.7 rating -not too shabby for a D-1AA first game as a rookie…

Plus who could ever forget that 38 yard rumble for a TD? If that wasn’t the hallmark of a future HoF QB, I do not know what is…

by vlad755 on Sep 13, 2010 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

ok i know he won. I watched it just like you did. But Bradford actually looked like a real QB

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 13, 2010 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

“WE GOTTA FIGHT! WE GOTTA SCRATCH! WE GOTTA BLEED! FOR EACH OTHERRRRRRRRR!!!!!”

Wow Keith Brooking scores a 10 on the unintentional comedy scale.

"Cam, we're not going to have any issues because we're going to be winning."
--Joe Flacco

"Just win baby. Yeah, I stole that."
--Jon Gruden

by jackmca on Sep 12, 2010 11:04 PM EDT reply actions  

He's not exactly Ray Ray

"Give us 10 points and the game is over...And they didn't score on us. Make sure you quote that. They didn't score on our defense."

by organizedchaos52 on Sep 12, 2010 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I didn’t realize how much I missed the Michael Vick Show until yesterday. The ultimate scrambling QB is back.

by BmoreBlitz on Sep 13, 2010 8:48 AM EDT reply actions  

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