Week 1 NFL Capsules: Ravens @ Jets

Revis had 2 more picks than Landry. WOW. What a game breaker. Oh please, teams don’t throw at him waah waah waah.

Regarding Revis, it isn’t a matter of picks. The guy shut down [nearly] every #1 receiver in the league so much that the QB never threw to him.

In fact that is what made his performance (minus the low interceptions) probably the first of its kind in the history of the league.

From FO:

Revis had a very rare mix of both quality and quantity. He led the league in Adjusted Yards per Pass and Success Rate, which is impressive enough by itself, but what was more impressive is that he still drew the sixth-highest target rate of any defensive back in the league. He was consistently able to convince quarterbacks to throw in his direction, and yet, effective enough to prevent those passes from being completed. That raises his value compared to a player like Nnamdi Asomugha, whose greatness simply funnels targets over to the other, weaker players on the roster…

…Revis allowed an adjusted average of 3.5 yards per pass. The average for qualifying corners was 7.5, while the standard deviation was 1.37. The Z-Score represents how many standard deviations above or below the mean the statistic in question was; in this case, Revis was 2.9 standard deviations below the mean. If we apply the same analysis to his Success Rate, we find that he was 3.0 standard deviations above the mean (above, in this case, because a high Success Rate is good, while a high Average Yards per Pass is bad). Splitting the difference between the two suggests that Revis was playing at a level 2.95 standard deviations better than the average cornerback.

Now, keep in mind that Revis was also targeted on 96 passes, the fifth-most of any corner in the league.If we look at the fifth-most frequently used players at quarterback, running back and wide receiver, and adjust their statistical lines on a per-play basis to be 2.95 standard deviations above the average performance by a qualifying player at their position, the results are staggering (Table 2). A player playing at Revis’ level while getting a comparable usage rate at a different position in 2009 would have set the NFL passing record by nearly 500 yards, beat out Jerry Rice for the single-season receiving record, or run for 2,000 yards while averaging a record-tying 6.4 yards per carry.

I could see our offense giving up more points to than our defense. C’mon guys the Ravens haven’t played one game and you guys act like they’re elite. We got our second best defensive player back and bolstered our secondary, so yes we have a better defense than last year. Oh, and last year’s defense held the Saints to 10 points defensively; so like I said I don’t see you guys scoring more than 20.