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NFL Picks & Pans: Week 15

Continuing my solid streak of picking winners the past two weeks, with 22 of 32 correct, I like my chances to keep it going with some solid selections and a couple of "Upset Specials" as well. I'll pick & pan the critical match-up between our Baltimore Ravens and New Orleans Saints tomorrow morning, and that game will have significant implications on where the two teams might be playing one the post season begins next month. For now, we'll move onto this weekend's games after the San Diego Chargers confirmed what everyone knew would happen when the San Francisco 49ers got slammed on Thursday night.

Bengals over Browns: The 'Battle of Ohio' is not quite a major battle anymore, but I actually think Cincinnati can outscore Cleveland, not that anyone outside of those two cities, including any inside, could actually care.

Steelers over Jets: My brain wins out over my heart, as difficult as it is to root for any team from New York. Even without Troy Polomalu, Pittsburgh's defense should shut down New York, as the Jets may go another game without scoring an offensive touchdown.

Star-divide

Cowboys over Redskins: It looks like Dallas QB Jon Kitna is now comfortable with the offense and they are playing rather well under their new head coach, while Washington is the league's 'train wreck' with a new starting QB and a multi-millionaire one relegated to 3rd string!

Panthers over Cardinals: This one ranks up there with the Bengals/Browns game in terms of interest, but Carolina is at home and that is the only reason I like them to win.

Colts over Jaguars: Love to see the upset here but Peyton Manning is determined to finish strong and has no intention of losing at home to the Jacksonville team they are trying to catch in the AFC South standings. MJD is running great and this should be one of the best games of the weekend.

Dolphins over Bills: Miami seems to be trying to hang around in the playoff hunt but in the AFC East, that will be too tough, but not tough enough to beat Buffalo in south Florida.

Eagles over Giants: This game actually qualifies as one of my "Upset Special Picks of the Week" as New York is favored at home but I like Michael Vick to lead Philadelphia to a win on the road in a game that should be physical and higher scoring than you might think.

Rams over Chiefs: This game does not qualify as an upset with St. Louis a point home favorite and I also agree with the oddsmakers as Rams rookie QB am Bradford is for real and they should be tough at home inside their dome.

Buccaneers over Lions: Detroit cannot keep their QB's healthy and Tampa is a much better team at home, although it helps to have your opponents miss a couple of short FG's and an extra point to keep you in the playoff hunt!

Texans over Titans: My second "Upset Special Pick of the Week" as I like the way Houston looked on Monday Night Football in never giving up and their late season record has been solid the past few years. Meanwhile Tennessee is struggling both on the field as well as off and round two of the Andre' Johnson/Cortland Finnegan boxing match should be an interesting sidebar.

Falcons over Seahawks: Normally, Seattle is a tough opponent t home, but they have looked so bad this year while Atlanta has been finding ways to win each week and plan on staying home throughout the playoffs.

Raiders over Broncos: Is this the week that Denver rookie QB Tim Tebow gets his chance to prove he was worth trading up into the first round of the 2010 NFL Draft, as Oakland looks to move int the battle for the AFC West.

Patriots over Packers (Sunday Night Football): I would take New England no matter if Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers is playing or not, as long s they have Tom Brady, that's good enough for me. Recently heard stat is that Brady hasn't turned the ball over for FIVE games in a row now!

Vikings over Bears (Monday Night Football): Single-digit temps are expected in the first outdoors Minnesota home game in 29 years since the roof of the Metrodome fell in. Who ends up QB for the Vikings doesn't matter, as I can see Chicago's Cutler throwing a few errant picks to help his team lose tonight.

 

Last week:  10-6

Season record:  126-80

Comment 11 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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by TheShadow on Dec 18, 2010 2:32 PM EST reply actions  

Who ends up QB for the Vikings doesn’t matter, as I can see Chicago’s Cutler throwing a few errant picks to help his team lose tonight.

Seriously? The Vikings weren’t that good when they actually had a QB, now they’re deciding between Webb anda guy who hasnt’ been in the league since 2008. No matter how poorly Cutler plays, I think it’s almost impossible for the Bears to lose this one. Their defense will come up big in the cold against a totally demolished Vikings team.

"CAN WE PLOX STOP PLAYING COVER3 AND QUARTERS WIFF LEAD
Needa send like 6-7 like we do at start and make him throw wiff like 2 seconds RAWRR and give mcclain more carries ? o line = bad rice = small great but small give mcclain ball he get tough yards JFS"

--as so eloquently stated by pk_lucifer_pk

by jackmca on Dec 18, 2010 6:15 PM EST reply actions  

Actually I thought

it would end up being between Favre and TJax to start With Joe Webb under center for the Vikes, that is definitely considered an upset and since it’s already in print, I won’t change my pick but that quote you reference is not exactly valid now.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Dec 19, 2010 8:42 AM EST up reply actions  

WInners

(chargers) i cheated on that one
Browns
Steelers
Cowboys
Panthers
Jaguars (i feel like this might be a mistake but this HAS to be the year Peyton finally can’t win the AFC South—plus MJD is running rampant at the moment and Garrard is playing well).
Dolphins
Eagles
Chiefs (Cassel is back)
Bucs
Titans (Texans just can’t find ways to win and it will happen again here)
Falcons
Raiders (this one is on “blowout watch”)
Patriots (over anyone until further notice)
Bears (see above for my reasoning on that one)

"CAN WE PLOX STOP PLAYING COVER3 AND QUARTERS WIFF LEAD
Needa send like 6-7 like we do at start and make him throw wiff like 2 seconds RAWRR and give mcclain more carries ? o line = bad rice = small great but small give mcclain ball he get tough yards JFS"

--as so eloquently stated by pk_lucifer_pk

by jackmca on Dec 18, 2010 6:21 PM EST reply actions  

I know Casse i sback but

think the Rams have played real well this year and especilly at home. Also think that Tebow starting for Denver will end up being the next “Elway” (not exacty) and lead them to a win with his arm and leg.

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Dec 19, 2010 8:45 AM EST up reply actions  

you may be right

i don’t think your pick is nonsense, i just think KC is better

"CAN WE PLOX STOP PLAYING COVER3 AND QUARTERS WIFF LEAD
Needa send like 6-7 like we do at start and make him throw wiff like 2 seconds RAWRR and give mcclain more carries ? o line = bad rice = small great but small give mcclain ball he get tough yards JFS"

--as so eloquently stated by pk_lucifer_pk

by jackmca on Dec 19, 2010 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

jason campbell gets to hose the hosers.

by raven on Dec 18, 2010 10:46 PM EST reply actions  

I'd rather the Jets

hose the hosers (Steelers)!

aka 'Rexx'

by Bruce Raffel on Dec 19, 2010 8:46 AM EST up reply actions  

yea u also told us we should start Bulger

so forgive us for not being on board

"CAN WE PLOX STOP PLAYING COVER3 AND QUARTERS WIFF LEAD
Needa send like 6-7 like we do at start and make him throw wiff like 2 seconds RAWRR and give mcclain more carries ? o line = bad rice = small great but small give mcclain ball he get tough yards JFS"

--as so eloquently stated by pk_lucifer_pk

by jackmca on Dec 20, 2010 4:09 PM EST up reply actions  

10 for 20 is not impressing many people

Good thing the offensive line controlled the game for the running game. Flacco is still not seeing a lot of open receivers.

by TheShadow on Dec 21, 2010 12:42 AM EST up reply actions  

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