NFL Picks & Pans: Conference Championships
Ravens fans, remember how we felt this time last year, when our Baltimore Ravens were getting ready to face the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC Title Game? After two straight upsets on the road with a rookie QB at the helm and a rookie head coach on the sidelines, all of Baltimore was abuzz in purple passion as we wanted to show the league that we couldn't possibly lose to the same team three times in once season, after coming oh so close in the previous two. But alas, it was not to be, as we looked to be four minutes away from a Super Bowl berth before Steelers safety Troy Polamalu ended our hopes and our season with a interception for the game sealing TD.
Now we see four other teams, including one with a rookie QB and head coach and two road playoff wins, aiming to make history today with so many story lines. Let's take a look at the games and make our picks and pans, starting with the AFC and finishing with the NFC after the 'Jump.'
Colts over Jets: Sure, everyone said the exact same thing 40 years ago, when both teams were playing in different states. Now the Colts play in Indiana and the Jets play in New Jersey, but it was the same storyline, although the point spread is not quite as big and the guy practically guaranteeing victory this time is a bit fatter and coaches on the sidelines, not taking the snaps under center.
These two teams met in week 16 and it would be ironic that if the team that laid down that week to allow the Jets into the playoffs ends up losing to allow them to go to Miami. However, with the AFC Championship on the line, something tells me there is no way that Colts QB Peyton Manning lets his teammates and fans down with so much at stake at home. Manning was in the midst of efficiently carving the Jets up last time before he was pulled with a 15-10 lead and he, along with the entire team looked rested and in sync in their 20-3 victory last week against our Ravens. The Jets gameplan is pretty much the same as Baltimore's, run the ball, coddle the young QB and play solid defense. This didn't work for the Ravens last week and I don't see it working for the Jets this week either. While everyone talks about the top rated New York defense, people forget that the Colts defense was very stingy in the category that I see as the most important defensive category of all and that is points allowed. While the Jets surrendered a league best 14.8 points/game, the Colts only gave up 19.2 points/game (the Ravens gave up a league 3rd best 16.3 pts./game). The Jets' defense is well known and hard hitting, but the Colts is also very fast, athletic and always rises to the occasion in the playoffs. I cannot see the Jets running the ball effectively not to put rookie QB Mark Sanchez on the line and with the pass rush that the Colts have, I see Sanchez throwing picks that end up costing New York the game. Besides, when you have Peyton Manning prepared for a team he knows quite well and receiving options other than Reggie Wayne if he is blanketed as expected by the Jets Darrell Revis, you don't particularly care if your running game is virtually non-existent. Colts: 24-13
Vikings over Saints: While I really don't care which team in this game makes the Super Bowl, either one will bring great stories with them to the Big Game and today is no different with the old man in purple trying to get a ring in what could once again be his last NFL season (or not), vs. a team playing for a city ravaged by Hurricane Katrina only a few short years ago. Both teams boast prolific offenses with the Saints leading the league in points scored and Vikings not far (Favre) behind. However, I personally see Minnesota as the most balanced team on both sides of the ball of the remaining playoff teams in both conferences. Regardless of the fact that Adrian Peterson hasn't had a 100 yard performance in a while, he is still as dangerous as any player in the league once he gets the ball in his hands. If he can break off a few decent runs early in the game, the Saints defense will have to stop sitting back to stop Favre's passing and creep up closer to the line of scrimmage to slow down Peterson and then you just know what will happen. While New Orleans run game is not that bad, it doesn't compare to Minnesota's and the Saints run defense is nowhere near as strong as the Vikings. However, Saints QB Drew Brees has the skills and receivers to overlook that problem and still put points on the board with so many different quality receiving options, which should challenge the Vikings secondary all day. The thing that Minnesota has in its favor to counteract that is their non-stop pass rush, which totally unsettled Dallas QB Tony Romo last week and made his life miserable in their 34-3 drubbing. The Saints have as loud as a crowd as any team and that will help them stay in the game as the 12th man. Unfortunately, I see the balance of the Vikings outscoring and creating enough of a challenge to come out of New Orleans with a tough, close and exciting victory to face the Colts in the Super Bowl in what should be a great matchup for the Big Game. Vikings: 30-24
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Comments
Funny that Rex Ryan said when he watched the Ravens-Colts film, he saw that our defense was out of position nearly the entire game.
If Rex beats the Colts, the Ravens are going to look like the biggest suckers ever.
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
Forget Rex Ryan. Our offense lost us that game. Especially giving the ball back to Peyton with 1:48 to go in the second half on a three-and-out. Ryan’s just got a chip on his shoulder about Baltimore. I thought our defense played a decent game IMO.
Revenge is a dish best served cold.
Yup
I really hope Flacco is watching this game with his head down knowing that Sanchez is playing strong, unlike Joe who played like a pussy.
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
Watch the language
The night is darkest right before the dawn
by Baltimore Warrior on Jan 24, 2010 6:30 PM EST up reply actions
+1
even though you cussed I’ll send ya some soap MaLoR
Lonely Ravens fan in Cheese Head country (Watertown, WI)
God knows he needs that soap.
The night is darkest right before the dawn
by Baltimore Warrior on Jan 24, 2010 6:47 PM EST up reply actions
MaLor’s mom needs to call Schwartz’s mom and tell her that her son taught MaLor a bad word. Then MaLor should get the bar soap.
So many Christmas Story references
So little time
The night is darkest right before the dawn
by Baltimore Warrior on Jan 24, 2010 7:42 PM EST up reply actions
Actually, if MaLor was in A Christmas Story he’d be the Santa Clause who pushes Ralphie down the slide with a foot to Ralphies face or he’d be the mom.
To me
The night is darkest right before the dawn
by Baltimore Warrior on Jan 25, 2010 5:25 PM EST up reply actions
The difference between similar teams
is that the Jets are playing “balls-out” aggressive offense and defense. The Jets are playing a lot of man coverage challenging the Colts receivers, who are berating them, but the turnover is a distinct possibility. At the same time, the Ravens played back, giving up the short pass but limiting the turnover potential and rarely blitzed Manning while the Jets are going after him.
Offensively, we played our typical big game bland style with zero aggressiveness, especially in the RZ and inside of 2 minutes. The Jets are using every trick play in the book and if only one or two big plays come out of it, it may make the difference.
Still see the Colts coming back in the 2nd half but the Jets have already scored more in one half than I thought they would all game. Colts got a huge battle on their hands.
Can’t wait for the later game though, as while I want the Colts to win, in the Saints-Vikes game, I just want to sit back and watch two great teams.
aka 'Rexx'
The Jet’s pass rush disappeared after the 2nd quarter. Again, a team can’t close out a 1/2 against the Colts. #30 for the Jets was the goat of the game. His missed timed jump was the difference entering the 1/2. The Colts rolled after that.
This game showed you can’t play straight up with the Colts like we’ve down 8 straight times. The Ravens used a reverse and down field passing to score on their first drive but got conservative in the red zone and settled for a FG. The Jets used a deep ball and Wild Cat formation to get TD’s. Take out our reverse, the Jet’s Wild Cat and the deep ball to Edwards and neither of us score a TD against the Colts.
I still can’t get over how the Ravens coaches can’t game plan, after all these years, against the Colts. The Colts have dug deep and developed Garcon, Collie and Clark to compliment Harrrison (and former Colt Wayne) before the Ravens developed a single receiver as a consistant threat. Mason was Mason long before the Ravens.
I don’t get to excited when the Colts get down. Manning just waits until he has to start flinging it. Teams aren’t really that close. Just before 1/2 you’ll see the real Manning and then in the second half he simply kills you.
The Jets played fine on O but, like most teams, on mistake against the Colts and your done.
Farve Flops
Does this guy choke more than excel in the big ones? WOW. This could have been his defining moment but he’ll be wirtten into the history books as a thrower who played a bunch of games in a row. If he won this SB he would have been remembered as a champion.
Even with all his numbers (minus massive INT"s), he’ll now be a second fiddle QB to the best- who we all know. It’s almost like his whole career came full circle and you can see all his old coaches cringing at his final misfired pass into traffic. Sad really.
Now we all have to endure
another off season of his retirement talk. Perhaps he should come here for one more try at the big one!
aka 'Rexx'
Really?
You can endure if you want. I stopped listened to him about two moves ago. But as far as him coming here — we don’t have enough players on this team who are about to get Social Security? What’s he gonna do? Sit in a LazyBoy on the sidelines with his hand down his pants and say stuff like “Hey, c’mere Little Joey, sit on Grandpa Brett’s knee and I’ll tell you about the time I threw 14 interceptions in one quarter while running around like a loon.” ???
"Talk’s cheap. Let’s go play." - Unitas
Favre might have had us in the SB
if he was here this year. I’m pretty confident in that statment, seeing how our lack of offense in tough games cost us.
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Jan 25, 2010 7:18 PM EST up reply actions
Himself or other defenders
The night is darkest right before the dawn
by Baltimore Warrior on Jan 26, 2010 6:57 AM EST up reply actions
Hey, he made Sidney Rice
and Berrian a lot better than they were with Tavares Jackson, so he’d make both Clayton and D-Will into Pro Bowlers (maybe not).
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Jan 26, 2010 9:32 AM EST up reply actions
Yeah and Faries will fly out of my Butt and sign the new CBA
And allow us to sign Julius Peppers and draft Dez Bryant.
The night is darkest right before the dawn
by Baltimore Warrior on Jan 26, 2010 4:41 PM EST up reply actions
That would work for me
and the Ravens would be happy.
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Jan 27, 2010 5:47 PM EST up reply actions
He’ll be back with the Vikes but they will be serious looking for their #2. Brett will be asked to be more of a mentor next year…if he can be a mentor wth his style.
Imagine him mentoring Troy Smith or Beck.
Favre ain't coming back
to sit on the bench and back ANYONE up. He wouldn’t babysit Aaron Rodgers anymore, so he wouldn’t do it for anyone else.
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Jan 25, 2010 7:19 PM EST up reply actions
My excitement level going into the offseason with Flacco compared to last year is about 30% less. How do you all feel about his growth and future…honestly?
A lot more realistic perhaps
as we might have been wearing really thick purple lenses last season.
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Jan 27, 2010 5:48 PM EST up reply actions















