How To Beat the San Diego Chargers
Last week we put the same story out on the Kansas City Chiefs and for the most part, the Baltimore Ravens listened to what I posted, but their Special Teams must have taken the day off that it was posted. However, we still "escaped" with a win, according to the never satisfied Ravens supporters, although most of you agree with me that the purple and black (actually they wore white last Sunday) dominated that game on both sides of the ball.
If the Ravens play that way this weekend in San Diego, can they repeat their success? This time, they will be the visiting team and the crown will be firmly behind their Chargers in their home opener of the 2009 NFL season. Both teams come into this game at 1-0, with similar closer victories over opponents originally thought to be much weaker than the games suggested. However, as we've said over and over, this is the NFL and on any given Sunday...
(More on 'How to Beat the San Diego Chargers' after the "Jump.")
Needless to say, if the Baltimore Ravens wrap up a "gift" or two to the Chargers like they did to the Chiefs, it will put the team in a difficult position against a team with what can be a very high powered offense. Therefore, right off the ball the Ravens must win the turnover battle in order to win the game. One of our posters on The Beatdown listed an interesting stat about how infrequently a team that ends the game -2 in the turnover battle has still won the game and it isn't very promising that we can count on doing that again and still coming out with a victory.
How many Chiefs fans, much less even Ravens fans, thought this offense was capable of that type of offensive explosion that saw the Ravens running up a franchise record of 501 yards of total offense? Now that the cat's out of the bag, how will the Chargers prepare to defend the Ravens? Will they double our wideouts and dare us to run the ball? Doubtful. Will they blitz on every passing play to force Joe to beat them? Perhaps, but still not going to happen every play. The Chargers will just have to put the Ravens in obvious down and distance positions where they are almost certain to either run or pass and hope that Cam Cameron doesn't cross them up. Expect the Ravens to put points on the board against the shaky Chargers defense, as they have been prone to the long pass play and their front seven are injured or just not fully recovered to the point of having one of the league's most feared defenses in past years.
So with the expectations of high scoring by the Ravens, how does the Ravens defense "rebound" (?) from last week? Rebound!? Holding the Chiefs to 188 yards of offense, with 50 coming on one play and another seven on a short TD drive, the Baltimore defense only gave up just over 130 yards the rest of the game to the Chiefs, including a leasely 29 on the ground. No LaDanian Tomlinson is a possibility, but that means more touches for Darren Sproles and probably some carries for Michael Bennett. LT is definitely not the guy he was a few years ago, when he was the obvious #1 pick in most fantasy football drafts for years. Sproles, while swift and elusive in presenting the possibility of scoring every time he touches the ball on offense or Special Teams, is just not the feature back that the Chargers think can last the entire season due to his diminutive size. Even the Ravens Ray Rice, similar in size to Sproles, will not carry the rock 30-40 times like many feature backs and Rice has a couple of guys named Willis McGahee and LeRon McClain to help him maintain his health and limit his wear and tear.
Sproles will get his yards through his various touches, but the Ravens need to be on him before he gets into the open field and can use his jukes and moves to outrun the defense. Not falling for the screen or draw plays, and making sure he is closely followed out of the backfield on passing plays will help this team slow him down enough for the gang tackling that might tire him out before he does the same to us. Regardless of his skills, it's been 36 games and counting since any running back has gone over 100 yards rushing against the Ravens defense and Sproles does not figure to stop that streak.
That means it comes down to QB Philip Rivers and his tsalented group of receivers, namely WR Vincent Jackson and TE Antonio Gates. The Chargers have a couple of other guys who can catch and run the ball, but those two are the focus of the Ravens pass defense gameplan. Jackson presents a tough matchup for our fast, but small DB's and whether it be Domonique Foxworth or Fabian Washington assigned to blanket him, they will need help from the safeties as well as the LB's in front of him. However, those two groups may be matched up against Gates, who is too fast for the LB's and too strong for the safeties. Therefore, expect those two guys to get the balls thrown in their directions early and often.
It will be tough to slow them down if Rivers has the time to find them and throw. Therein lies the key to the game. Whereas I have said that the Ravens will score and Sproles may get some yardage and the Chargers receivers will be hard to shut down, the key to the game is getting pressure on Rivers. The Ravens defensive package will be to stunt and confuse Rivers by limiting the time he has to sit in the pocket waiting for Gates and Jackson to find the seams in the coverage. Harassing him, chasing him out of the pocket and slamming him to the turf in the beginning of the game will set the tone for making him throw the ball just a bit earlier than he wants, before his receivers come out of their breaks and lead to incompletions, tipped balls and ultimately the interceptions that the Ravens led the NFL with last year.
Forcing Rivers into turnovers and even incompletions, will frustrate him, and we have seen him unravel through his emotions getting the best of him. If the Ravens canstart the game with a turnover to set the tone of the rest of the contest, they can outscore the Chargers while limiting their time of possessions as they turn into a run-oriented team with the lead late in the game. If we get the chance to sit on the lead and run the ball down the Chargers questionable defense's collective throats, we will control the clock and wear down San Diego and win the game.
"IF" is a pretty big word in the NFL and the Chargers, as well as their faithful, might have a little disagreement to this assessment. If so, then wait until Sunday morning when our predictions and Open Thread begin to flow!
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45 comments
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Comments
The Importance of Being Ngata
One of the points that I agree with you the most on is the fact that we have to diagnose screens and draws as early as possible to prevent Lightning Bug or Mighty Mouse of whatever it is they call Sproles from getting in the open field. Thank goodness we have our very own 345 bloodhound for such things in Haloti Ngata, he’ll need to continue playing at his Pro Bowl form from the last few seasons on Sunday.
Piggy-backing off of another point of yours, I think that field position becomes even more important in this game because within the red zone they have two receivers in Jackson and Gates who are physically bigger than anyone we have to cover them. Beware the fade, Rivers throws a good one.
www.thebaltimorons.com
A Baltimore-centric Blog
by The Baltimorons on Sep 18, 2009 10:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
beware the fade stay clear of the moores.
by raven on Sep 18, 2009 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think another key
is the health of Tavares Gooden, if he is indeed at full strength I think he would match up well against Antonio Gates, he may not be able to completely hang with him, but for a linebacker he has great speed and can limit Gates without a doubt. This would also help free up Suggs, who can then do what he does best. If Tavares cant go…Next Man Up! JaMeel McLain would most likely be rushing the passer, limiting Suggs a bit, but we shall see come Sunday. And its not completely on Gooden, by no means neccessary, stopping Gates will be a combined effort, Dawan landry will be a nice asset in limiting him, allowing (the man, the myth, the legend) Ed Reed to work his magic in the secondary. I dont see San Diego beating us in the trenches on either side of the ball, I honestly think we will have our way with them and with that said, I am very excited and optimistic heading into Sunday. Lets go Ravens!
Scott Hines
by shines on Sep 18, 2009 10:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I liked that guy
he was a decent player with a soft touch but looked to be in such pain when he ran!
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 19, 2009 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dead on analysis
No doubt, the Ravens have to get to Rivers, and I think they will – the Chargers OL is not what it used to be. Ngata collapsing the pocket should stop Rivers from stepping up and having that extra second to find VJ or Gates open. I also think the Ravens should be able to run the ball effectively as well – the Raiders seemed to have no trouble finding holes against the Chargers on Monday – and that should eventually open up things for Mason, Heap and Clayton. I like the Ravens 24-13.
thefantasyknowitall@gmail.com
http://thefantasyknowitall.blogspot.com/
by thefantasyknowitall on Sep 18, 2009 10:49 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
All Day and All of the Night
I’m not sure the score of the game, but I like the Ravens 24/7
www.thebaltimorons.com
A Baltimore-centric Blog
by The Baltimorons on Sep 18, 2009 11:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I've seen 6 people pick the game on NFL network
And all have unequivocally taken the Ravens. Bill Simmons on ESPN also picked us. So much for us not getting any love from the media, although it did piss me off that half the Baltimore Sun writers picked us to lose. Preston had us winning but Hensley and others did not. Weak sauce that our local guys don’t have the same confidence in the team as the “informed” (ie; most NFL network guys not named Jamie Dukes) national media. If we pull out the win on Sunday, we are going to explode on the national scene, as all the ESPN nut riders (Scott, Berman, Mike and Mike, Cowherd, everyone else who doesn’t know what their talking about…) will be sure to jump on the bandwagon.
by DT711 on Sep 18, 2009 12:17 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Typical Sun Writers
If you see the games scores they predict, they always pick them to be like 16-13, 24-21, 30-27, but never a blow2out as they are so afraid to go out on a limb and make a big prediction. So afraid to lose their worthless jobs as well.
Was not impressed with their little “clique” of friends at Training Camp at all!
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 18, 2009 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sun writers..LOL. How many of those nerds did Cal Ripken coat tail to ESPN? Let’s see…TIMMY!, Rosenvulture, Buster Lonely, The Maaske?
by raven on Sep 18, 2009 11:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sighhhhh
Again, here is a prime example of that garbage sports section. Hensley is going to pick us to tie the lions and Preston will have the browns beating us by 27 because it will be 42 degrees at the game and he will find some idiotic stat that says we are 3-6 in 40 degree weather on days that in Y and suggs mouth is open approximatley 1.7 inches. I bet they pick the ravens to lose to middle Tennessee tomorrow. Oh wait that’s the terps.
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 18, 2009 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Uh,...would you really be surprised
if the Terps lose to MTS after barely getting by JMU?
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 18, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think they can lose to the Reisterstown Mustangs.
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 18, 2009 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Did you play for them?!
I left my Pop Warner team to play Arbutus Football and we played them for the last game of every season. I remember them having a huge rock, and thats about it.
Scott Hines
by shines on Sep 19, 2009 3:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Arbutus and Sykesville used to kick our ass every year.
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 19, 2009 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yea I played 5th and 6th grade.
we went 24-0, 2 Superbowls. lol. And we always had to travel to you, hour bus rides!
Scott Hines
by shines on Sep 19, 2009 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Still like Preston for assisting in the coaching change…
by raven on Sep 18, 2009 11:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Attention!
If any of you live in or around the Baltimore area.
A new 7/11 has opened on Wilkens Avenue, across the street from St. Agnes hospital. Poe is in the parking lot, most likely a knockoff, but hes the man none-the-less. Slurpees are 11 cent…12 after tax. And they have a 4 chicken wings for a dollar special. Go!
Scott Hines
by shines on Sep 18, 2009 1:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Okay Scott,...
…grab all you can, then slowly, without scaring any kids, step away from the mascot and leave very quietly and return to your room. St. Agnes is about to issue an all points bulletin for you.
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 18, 2009 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I ain’t goin all the way down 95 then exit 12A to get some 2 day old taquitos
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 18, 2009 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
dude get out of there!!!! that aint Poe and the place is being held up!
by raven on Sep 18, 2009 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Same way as I said last week
Score more points then they do.
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 18, 2009 1:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
HOW TO BEAT THE CHARGERS
KEEP PHILLIP RIVERS GUESSING WHAT OUR DEFENSING IS GOIN TO DO WITH HIM BECAUSE OAKLAND SACK HIM ALOT OF TIMES AND KEEP OUR DEFENSE OFF THE FIELD AND IF THEY DO SCORE LET IT JUST BE FIELD GOALS AND RAVENS GOTTA SCORE OVER 20 POINTS TO BEAT THIS TEAM AND THIS IS THE RAVENS YEAR TO GO ALL THE WAY
by Rell on Sep 18, 2009 3:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree, but shouldn't you
lightly touch your “CAPS” key just once?
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 18, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
WHAT? I COULDN'T QUITE HEAR YOU.
Chiefs roll. 'nuf said.
by kabrink on Sep 18, 2009 9:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
good take
I’ll be sitting 45-yard in my powder blue this Sunday. But this is a very scary game. Too many injuries right now. It really comes down to the Chargers O-line. If they can block anybody, it will be a good game. Sproles doesn’t need an interstate to run through like LT. He may not be a 30-carry guy, but give him 20+ touches and look out. The Chargers have no chance if Jamal Williams is out.
by Southtown760 on Sep 18, 2009 7:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Less of a chance, that is
Ogemdi Nwagbuo really surprised me last week, he was consistently harassing the QB and picked up the only sack. He’s raw, but may emerge as JW’s long term successor in just a few seasons.
Sproles runs like a rabbit; he can sqeeze through tiny gaps but also be blown over by a breath of wind. Bennett isn’t much stronger, and with LT sitting, the Chargers will probably not get much done on the ground.
I do, however, think the backups on the offensive line are better than people give them credit for. Scott “Mooch” Mruzkowski is a pretty good G/C, Brandyn Dombrowski played well last week, and the new pickup Dennis Morgan is supposed to be a steady hand. The main problem is Ngata, of course— I expect them not to do poorly against Suggs and Lewis on the blitz.
All in all, though, this game comes down to the Charger recievers beating Ed Reed vertically. Rivers can throw every down against the tiny corners you’ve got there, but Reed is admittedly a monster, and slightly taller. However, he’ll probably end up outmatched at some point; the Chargers boast 4 guys at 6’5" (Jackson, Gates, Floyd, and Osgood) plus Legedu Naanee (6’2") and Chris Chambers (5’11", but a good reciever and effective decoy).
"Everything I say, is calculated, appropriated, written and arranged in Feng Shui."
--Gnarls Barkley, "Feng Shui"
by StrangeBroP25 on Sep 18, 2009 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nigerian pass rushers should be banned.
by raven on Sep 18, 2009 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Does he play without shoes?
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 19, 2009 10:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fantasy help for a Chiefs fan?
I know it was just against us Chiefs but I really liked how Flacco looked last week. Very poised and smart, moved nicely, strong arm. I don’t have him on my team.
However, for the SD game I picked up Heap because I think he could shred the Chargers. But, Clayton and Mason are also available to me. I can only take one, who do you guys think will be best?
Chiefs roll. 'nuf said.
by kabrink on Sep 18, 2009 9:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
In a PPR league, I would go with Mason. In a standard league, I would take Clayton.
Don’t get too carried away, though. The Ravens still will run the ball. Heap will probably be a solid TE, but neither WR is a reliable fantasy option. They may be a good play with the right matchup.
by BAL_Hawk on Sep 18, 2009 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, was really only thinking of these guys
for the SD matchup at this point – as my 3rd WR/TE flex guy.
Chiefs roll. 'nuf said.
by kabrink on Sep 19, 2009 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Take D-Williams in your fantasy league. Are there points for jumping making 1 catch and falling on your back?
by raven on Sep 18, 2009 11:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I NEEEEEED FOOTBALLLL
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 19, 2009 2:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
any one herre
?
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 19, 2009 2:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
gues not its 2:58
You have to hate losing more than you love winning.
by Mr MaLoR on Sep 19, 2009 2:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Will be interesting to see our passing game
Charger cornerbacks are some of the best in the league.
Suspect its going to be a major Heap and Rice day. Suspect Mason will not have as good of a day as a result, although Washington could step up.
Hopefully Joe has the patience to NOT throw it long when its covered ; a mistake he has made a couple of times.
Think the O-lines and the D-lines win it for us. 24-17
by Merlin11 on Sep 19, 2009 6:41 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
"Chargers cornerbacks are some of the best in the league"
Hmmm…that must make the Oakland Raiders passing attack the best in the league as well, right? And that low ranked pass defense from only a year ago, don’t tell me, was due to injuries, and now that Shawne is back will return to form? Oh wait, there’s more injuries. Oh well..
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 19, 2009 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Only accurate
when you get a pass rush. Without pressure, any QB in the NFL will pick you apart. Worked for and against us in the past and no one in the NFL is immune from it. Such a team game that one area makes another look good,…or bad.
aka 'Rexx'
by Bruce Raffel on Sep 20, 2009 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It makes no difference
To the talent level of the cornerbacks, only the effectiveness.
by gman87 on Sep 20, 2009 7:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gaither vs. Merriman
I’m pumped to see these two Terps go at it on Sunday. Gaither can make a major statement for his career potential if he effectively handles Merriman. Protect Flax A$$!
They say the empty can rattles the most...
by Massacre on Sep 19, 2009 12:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs













