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Ravens Draft Grade

Most of the experts have long been in awe of the success that the Baltimore Ravens have had on draft day. They always seem to find the needle in the haystack, especially in the first round. Their #1 picks have regularly made the Pro Bowl in their careers, earning GM Ozzie Newsome and his staff the title of "Draft Gurus."

However, I beg to differ, as the recent drafts have not panned out other than the first round picks. It's pretty easy to know who the first or even second rounders are, but to find the diamond in the rough in the later rounds is the real key to success. Everyone knew Peyton Manning would be a star when he was drafted, but what about Tom Brady.

As far as the Ravens, I really like Joe Flacco, even if the pick at 18 might have been a reach. However, when I see this team's needs, I look at two positions, QB and CB. These should have been the first two picks last weekend. Sure, RB Ray Rice will fill a nice spot in Cam Cameron's two back offense, but there were other RB's that we could have gotten with the later picks rather than spending the second rounder on one. As much as I like Flacco, Michigan's Chad Henne will also be a good pro, as he was the starter at Michigan for four years, playing with success against some of the tougher teams in the country on a weekly basis. After the Ravens selection of Flacco in the first round, the next QB wasn't selected until the third round. This leaves me wondering that if the Ravens used their first round pick on a top cornerback, such as South Florida's Mike Jenkins, would Flacco have been available with their 2nd round pick, or could they have traded back up into the late first round and grabbed him? If not, Henne would have certainly been there, and either way, we'd have our QB of the future, as well as a top corner, which was much more of a dire need than a backup running back.

Who knows what goes on in the Draft War Room. At what point was the trade of a fourth round pick to Oakland for CB Fabian Washington discussed or completed? Was it before the draft even started? Did they view, as Ozzie said, Washington as better than anything they could have drafted anyway? If so, then his philosophy played out and that is why he did what he did. What he did other than the above, was complete the entire draft without selecting even one cornerback. I cannot believe that the potential of at least one draft pick can't be better than what we saw on the field in 2007 from the backups that played in the absence of injured Samari Rolle and Chris McAlister. Therein lies my point. Sure, Washington is a good pickup. However, this secondary is much more than one CB away from being respectable. Drafting Mike Jenkins and trading for Fabian Washington would have solidified a glaring weakness that every team exploited last season, be it the Colts and Steelers or the lowly Jets and Cardinals. Before this team even thinks of contending, the secondary is the biggest need other than QB. Even the Ravens 7th round draft pick, Allen Patrick (Oklahoma) could arguably fill in as a option for Willis McGahee. However, none of the draft picks nor anyone else on our current roster can do the same at corner.

Of course, the draft grade won't truly be determined this upcoming season. It will take years to gauge the success of the full draft. Flacco and Rice should make an immediate impact, even though I'm for putting Kyle Boller or Troy Smith behind center for most if not all of 2007 to absorb the abuse and punishment that he might otherwise be subjected to. Having Flacco start his NFL career spending most of his time running for his life or flat on his back would leave us with a shell shocked ill-prepared rookie. Even though Boller did the same and look where he is after five years, I still expect Flacco to be a much better NFL QB, but am not having delusions of grandeur for his first season.

The rest of the draft picks will ultimately fit in or move on over the next few years. I especially like the Notre Dame safety/pro boxer Tom Zbikowski, who is a hitter and should ultimately take over Dawan Landry's position, as Landry looked lost at times last season, especially without Reed when he was injured. Some of the others will end up being stars, and Miami LB Tavares Gooden could end up contributing early and being groomed under the wings of Ray Lewis to be his replacement at some point in the future. Others will contribute on special teams and as reserves, be it on the Ravens if they stick or with other teams.

Overall, the first couple of picks will end up being pretty good contributors. However, the critical need of this team just was not addressed to my satisfaction, regardless of the contributions from the other players who were drafted on day one. Therefore, that is why I am going against the grain of the so-called experts who gave the Ravens either a "B" or "B+" in the draft. I have always been a big fan with a ton of confidence in Ozzie Newsome. Perhaps now we are seeing how important former Raven Assistant GM and current Browns GM Phil Savage was to this team, as his absence may be a major part of the reason that I am giving the Ravens a grade of "C+" for the 2008 NFL Draft.

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I'm sticking with the B grade

First, I’m not sure it’s fair to say that Ozzie’s drafting has been worse recently. The 2007 class is shaping up to be an excellent group of guys, with Marshall Yanda and Antwaan Barnes being unexpected surprises for me. 2006 gave us Dawan Landry in the later rounds, and even if he isn’t a superstar, someone who can play solid starting football is hard to find in the fifth round. Quinn Sypniewski and Demetrius Williams have also outperformed where they were drafted. Punter Sam Koch is also worth mentioning from the 2006 draft.

On Phil Savage, I thought I’d direct you to this post on Toni Lombardi’s blog…
http://ravens24×7.blogspot.com/2008/03/ravens-2004-draft-was-trainwreckand.html

Phil Savage was with us for every pick of that inexcusable trainwreck of a draft, and it’s interesting to note that our worst season of the past ten years occurred exactly as the class of 2004 was expected to hit unrestricted free agency. This draft should have been the core of our team, and yet all we had on the roster at the beginning of the season were the underwhelming Dwan Edwards and Devard Darling. Now Edwards is the last man standing.

The Ravens get an unfair amount of heat for the 2005 draft, although picking a WR in the first round is never a good idea, Mark Clayton is a lot better than a lot of WR in the first round that year. Dan Cody should not be blamed on the Ravens front office. He wasn’t injury prone in college, the idea that he’d make the NFL and be unable to make it onto the field is a shame, but not Ozzie’s fault. Cutting Derek Anderson was a Billick decision, not Ozzie’s. Adam Terry has been somewhat dissapointing, but Jason Brown in the fourth is an absolute steal. Mock redrafting sites have Jason Brown going in the middle of the first round now, as the 2005 class was a weak draft class, and Brown is an extremely good player.

The fateful 2004 draft, the last draft with Phil Savage, need I remind you,
DT Dwan Edwards
WR Devard Darling
OLB Roderick Green
QB Josh Harris
WR Clarence Moore
WR Derek Abney
G Brian Rimpf
shudder

As for the current draft, a lot of Ozzie’s success comes at taking the best player available rather than picking a need. This is maddening to watch, but leads to better teams. We didn’t take a corner in the top of the second because Brandon Flowers didn’t fall to us, and the rest of the players available weren’t as good. Some of them may develop into solid players, but Fabian Washington is a better prospect than any corner taken after Flowers. Ray Rice was a steal at the bottom of the second. The other key to remember, is that our defense, despite major injuries, wasn’t bad last year. We finished 6th in the NFL. Our terrible backup corners got scorched by Peyton, but they held their own against Carson Palmer four weeks earlier. Nonetheless, we needed to improve our depth at the position, and we did, by picking up Fabian Washington, and Frank Walker. Take a look at Pittsburgh and you’ll see that they did the same thing. They needed offensive line help, and their first pick was on a running back, even though they already have Willie Parker. The good teams pick BPA.

I’m terribly excited by this new draft class, as they are all quite solid players, and seem like team guys. We didn’t take a single player with character concerns, and that will hopefully make it easier for Harbaugh to build the team he is trying to build.

by math_geek on May 1, 2008 11:58 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

You make a good point...

...regarding Savage. However, our CB depth STILL scares me, if both our starters are injured, especially McAlister. I’m not convinced Washington is the answer, as he had lost his starting job during last season and was just a backup for the lowly Raiders. As always, I’m excited about the draft, and can’t wait until training camp, the pre-season and opening day!

Rexx

by Rexx on May 2, 2008 9:09 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Oh, I'll be praying every day that C-Mac and Samari stay healthy

this last season showed, we need them.

I think you’ll be pleasantly surprised by Washington, however. He played very well in 2006, and seemingly lost his confidence in 2007. Rex Ryan wouldn’t have OKd the trade if he didn’t think there was something in Fabian, and Fabian is going to be working for the same secondary coach (Pagano) that helped him be successful in Oakland in 2006, but was not there in 2007. I think Fabian can become a very good #2 corner. Remember, the Raiders had the highest rated pass defense in football in 2006, although part of that was due to teams beating them by running out the clock.

The only way to replace McAlister is with a top 15 pick, so we had to choose between QB or CB with our first rounder, and we made the right choice. C-Mac’s career is hardly over however, we’ll hopefully have him for several more years.

I’m stoked even for training camp. I’m curious as to what the team is going to look like. It looks like we’ll be cutting a lot of dead weight this year, and that should help make our team better.

by math_geek on May 2, 2008 10:11 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

You guys got the right guy in Flacco.

He’s big, and he’s got a big arm. Everything else can be taught. You’ll see—just probably not this year.

DannoE

Go read FRIDAY MAD SCIENCE at www.paperbackreader.com
Go Titans!

by DannoE on May 1, 2008 1:31 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Totally agree..

...w/ you avout Flacco. Notice how all the other teams in the AFC North have big, strong armed QB’s as well. This puts us in the same direction and whether it be later this year or next, he will be a hell of a lot better than Boller ever was, or for that matter, ever will be! Thanks for the post!

Rexx

by Rexx on May 2, 2008 9:10 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs


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