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How to beat the Dallas Cowboys

This Saturday's game in Dallas is a pivotol game for both teams. There is a pretty decent chance that the winner of this game goes to the post season while the loser will most likely fall out of the playoff race, or at least to the bottom of the barrel of those teams still in the hunt. Therefore, while this is a must-win for both teams, only one can do so. How then, can the Baltimore Ravens go into Texas Stadium for the final game in its histroy, and beat a Dallas Cowboy team that is as desperate for a win as they are? There is a lot of "if's" to overcome if they want to emerge as the front runner for the final Wild Card slot in the AFC and send the Cowboys to an embarassing defeat in front of their home fans.

Usually, the key to the game lies in the trenches on both sides of the ball. That is where I usually look for an advantage or disadvantage for the offense and defense. Last week, I spoke about the bouncing ball, as both the Ravens and Steelers defenses seem to capitalize on the tipped pass which leads to field position and easy points. This week we'll go to another area of contention that I believe holds the key to victory for the Ravens over the Cowboys.

It's the clock! The time clock and more notably the all important statistic, time of possession. The Ravens have owned that statistic in their victories and while they've won that battle in some of their losses, the overwhelming wins have had the same overwhelming difference in time of possession. Winning the battle for the clock means that your offense keeps the ball the longest and not only tires out the opponents' defense, but keep the opponents' offense off the field. This will be the key in the Ravens ability to beat the Cowboys. We will need to keep the Dallas offense off the field as much as possible. In all the Cowboys losses with Tony Romo at the helm, either before or after his injury (with the exception of Pittsburgh), Dallas has gotten their offensive stats, yardage and even points. The Steelers game was the only game where they were totally shut down offensively for much of the game and that was due not only because of the Pittsburgh defense, but the cold and rotten weather that the Cowboys did not react well to. The Ravens have the defensive ability to disrupt the Cowboys offense just like the Steelers, but playing in Dallas will not make the weather a factor, at least for the Cowboys.

Therefore, the Ravens offense will have to move the ball, control the clock and most importantly, as a result of the aforementioned, they must score points of those long, ball controlling drives. Scoring 13 points will not be enough to beat the Cowboys, as the Dallas offense puts points on the board at home and will do so against even a tough Ravens defense. Dallas has averaged over 27 points per game at Texas Stadium and only once, in a 13-9 victory over Tampa Bay, have they been held to less than 20. They are 6-1 at home, with their only loss to the Washington Redskins in week four, when Romo still had 300 yards passing in a 26-24 defeat. So if the Ravens plan to win the time of possession battle, they better expect to put up a bunch of points if they want to win the battle on the scoreboard.

The Ravens certainly can score this season and have proved it by averaging over 24 points per game on the road. However, they've averaged only 11 points per game in their three road losses (Pittsbrugh, Indy, Giants), which will just not get the job done this Saturday in Dallas. The Cowboys defense ranks 7th overall (7th-rush; 8th-pass; 12th-points allowed) but they can be scored upon, giving up just over 20 points per game. This is where the Ravens offense needs to take advantage of, and make the plays downfield to put points on the board. No more settling for FG's in the Red Zone by remaining conservative once we get into scoring position. This team needs to pull out all the stops on offense and make sure QB Joe Flacco has the time and gameplan to make the plays. Dallas' DeMarcus Ware has 19 sacks and is looking to break the all-time season sack record of 22.5. He needs to be kept from getting that record against Jared Gaither, Adam Terry and even Todd Heap if necessary. Overloading his side of the offensive line can help us as much as it did by neutralizing Pittsburgh's James Harrison last week. However, this means less pass receiving options if Heap stays in to help, which puts added pressure on the wide outs and increased the need for significant contributions from others, such as Yamon Figurs and Marcus Smith, both of whom are capable of making the big play if called upon. Flacco can't rely on the 8-10 yard curls to Derrick Mason all game and must go over the top, if only to keep the Cowboys secondary honest. Le'Ron McClain needs to continue what is now a Pro Bowl season by ripping off huge chunks of yardage and Willis McGahee needs to atone for the past two worthless games by playing a big role and redeeming himself, while proving to the team and fans that he has a place in this offense now and in the future, as this team desperately needs his contributions. Hopefully, Ray Rice will have recovered and can add a different perspective to the offense as well.

Defensively, the Ravens cannot play the bend-but-don't-break pass defense that doomed us last week vs. Pittsburgh. Dallas' receivers are too big, too fast and too good to expect that style to limit their damage. They are as good as anyone in the league at getting their YAC. Allowing them to slant across the middle will feed right into their gameplan as it has for the teams that have been able to move the ball against us. The health of CB Fabian Washington is a major key in the ability to limit their success. Don't expect the Ravens to shut down the prolific Dallas passing game, only to slow it down. Tony Romo is prone to making mistakes and while he throws on the run as wll as anyone, he has proven to be rattled by tough defenses and hard pass rushes. The Ravens have the ability to throw both at him at if they are able to do so, expect the turnovers that will be critical to the Ravens offensive success.

Winning the turnover battle will feed right into winning the time of possession. The combination of events that lead to the battle for control of the clock will determine the victor in this game. The Ravens absolutely have the ability to accomplish this and the Cowboys know it. Whether or not the Ravens can make it a reality remains to be seen. This is now by far the Ravens toughest and most critical test of the season. while no one expected them to be playing a meaningful game at this point of the season, they've earned the right to be doing so. Now is the time to earn the right to play in January as well. It all begins, or ends, this Saturday night in Dallas.

PS-(Added 12/18, 6pm EST): Colts all over the Jags tonight!

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we need at least 5 safety blizes called. we also need to work backwards with mason and clayton testing them deep to start (should have did this against pitt). spread the field and give mcclain and mcgay a chance to operated without 8 in the box. joe had to squeeze in passes all day last week because we weren’t getting spread out enough. we have the weapons but joe needs to have patience in the pocket..maybe he learned from watching ben. maybe get Figurs in there for some bombs. Just please don’t go tight. That was rediculous how we started the Pitt game.

by raven on Dec 18, 2008 12:36 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

and stop with the runs on 1st & 2nd downs,..

..then pass on third while the defense pins its ears back and tees off on our line. Mix in pass early with long pass attempts, Wildcat, trick plays and the kitchen sink. No time for conservative FG’s here!

Rexx

by Rexx on Dec 18, 2008 12:58 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm all for throwing downfield early

But Ware better be accounted for at all times. Last thing we need is to start the game with a costly turnover.

by DT711 on Dec 18, 2008 3:35 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Press her !

Pressure Jessica Simpson and she might drop some balls, and get taken down by the big purple men.

by iLL on Dec 18, 2008 2:34 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

pressure jessica with some bug purple men balls

by raven on Dec 18, 2008 6:39 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

bug=big… derr…

by raven on Dec 18, 2008 6:40 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Red Zone

One thing that really ticked me off from the Pitt game was the fact that we could not punch in a touchdown if our season counted on it! Seriously we need too be better at producing touchdowns in the red zone and not field goals! It was so frustrating too watch us develop nice drive too march towards the end zone but when we got there we didn’t look aggressive enough with the play calling! Coach Cameron deserves a C’mon Man!!! *Courtesy of the ESPN Sunday Countdown crew.

by purpleonblack86 on Dec 18, 2008 7:18 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Controlling the clock might be hard,

because our defence has greatly improved especially against the run. The last time we were run on for more than 100 yards was the first giants game (in week 9). Also our red zone defence has been consistant all year, and is the best in the league at preventing touchdowns in goal to go situations.

by aussie_cowboy on Dec 18, 2008 8:51 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

No offense but...

we haven’t allowd a 100 yard rusher since TO was a good teammate.

Rexx

by Rexx on Dec 18, 2008 9:36 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But that would be never

by archon095 on Dec 18, 2008 9:48 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

We havent allowed a team to rush for 100 on us since the first giants game,

while you havent allowed one player to run for 100, the giants went for over 200 in week 11 .Besides, our offence isn’t focussed on the run but a vertical passing game.

And btw TO has been a great teammate all yearvregardless of what ESPN says

by aussie_cowboy on Dec 18, 2008 11:28 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Agree w/ TO comments

with all his shit, he’s never been in trouble with the law and I’ve never heard any teammate speak out about him, other than McNabb, who tried to avoid the conflict as long as possible. However, he sure whines like a spoiled child when they lose and he thinks it’s because he didn’t get the ball enough. Which might be true but shouldn’t enjoy a nice cold glass of STFU!?

Rexx

by Rexx on Dec 19, 2008 9:17 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

whats a “goal to go” situation..we don’t get there much lately : )

by raven on Dec 18, 2008 11:27 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Whats in a name: 4 loses to Manning, Rothlisberger

those names have been burned into my head this year.

by raven on Dec 19, 2008 12:07 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

turnovers will decide the game

it almost always does where both teams have great defenses.

And by turnovers, I really mean INTs, the qb who protects the ball the best will win.

I see a real defensive gem where the winning team will probably need only 10-14 points to win.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Dec 19, 2008 10:02 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Rexx, well writen analysis (from a Cowboy fan)

I’ve been thinking about this game a lot. And here are some things that I think Balt can do to win the game.

1) Create turnovers, especially in the redzone and/or return for a TD. Baltimore is historically a good turnover-producing team and often returns the turnover for a TD. As Rexx indicated, Romo is susceptible to turnovers. Having watched most every game he’s played, he often throws interceptions in the redzone, costing Dallas 3 or more likely 7 points. And we all saw Pittsburgh return Romo’s overthrow for 6 points a couple of weeks ago.

2) Pressure Romo. Romo, like most good QBs, is absolutely deadly when he has time to throw. Pressure on Romo has been a critical component of every defense thats slowed down the Dallas offense.

3) Special teams. Dallas’ coverage teams, particularly kickoff coverage, is poor (but improving). Big returns against Dallas have been a regular occurence this year. If on can go for 6, that will be a huge help to the Raven cause.

4) Big plays on offense. With only 1 exception, no team has been able to consistently move down the field on Dallas, and control the clock, since Wade Phillips took over control of the defense 7 weeks ago. That 1 game was Giants/Dallas 1 when Brad Johnson was the QB and the offense consistently put the defense in awful positions. They wore down and the Giants rolled. Outside of that game, long, scoring drives against Dallas have not been common. To that end, big plays on offense would go a long way for the Ravens.

5) Hope for flag-happy refs: Dallas has an amazing ability to shoot themselves in the foot (not thigh!) with penalties. False starts, holdings being the most prevalent. These are drive killers against top defenses like Baltimore. Watch for these.

6) Protecting Flacco is a must. Don’t get too caught up in trying to slide protection over to Ware. The problem (for offenses) is that Dallas moves guys around to get favorable matchups. Flacco will be under pressure. Just hope its enough to lead to turnovers.

This may be a game where the first team to score 20 points wins. Both defenses are playing very strong. I think Dallas has more offensive firepower. But Dallas has shown plenty of ability to make the other team much better with penalties and turnovers. This is a toss-up game with those elements likely being key.

by Ridgelake on Dec 19, 2008 2:06 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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