Hello Beatdowners,
We're a little new to SBNation, but wanted to share our take on what we feel will be the game to watch in the NFL this weekend.
TEN @ BAL
Our Line: Baltimore by 6
What a great matchup. Despite our convictions on who will win we will be watching this game closely come Sunday. Tennessee may be the number one rated team by Win Grade and have the largest margin of victory in the league, but there are several strong indicators that point in Baltimore's favor. First our strength of schedule ranking system Real Points shows that Tennessee is heavily overrated while Baltimore is underrated, which lays the groundwork for this upset. Next we find that even with how well the Tennessee defense has defended the run, Baltimore should have success moving the ball on the ground. The final and most important mark in the home team's favor is that despite being 4-0 and having faced lesser competition Tennessee is still an Upset Candidate. This shows that although they may have played well as a unit, Tennessee doesn't have any specific part of their game they can lean heavily upon. Baltimore on the other hand has proven that it has several aspects they excel at and flaunt a very impressive Upset Power. When we put it all together we see Baltimore improving to 3-1 and keeping pace with their division rivals.
ITN Rankings:
- Tennessee #7
- Baltimore #19
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