How to beat the Oakland Raiders
After watching the Ravens win three games against what is considered mediocre teams (Cincinnati, Cleveland, Miami), while losing three games against tougher opponents (Pittsburgh, Tennessee, Indianapolis), do the Oakland Raiders fit in to the former or latter grouping? Based on their record and stats so far in 2008, you'd have to undoubtedly put them into the mediocre group and therefore expect the Ravens to come away with a victory this Sunday at home.
However, if you expect the Raiders to roll over and let the Ravens make it an easy victory, you've not been watching what has happened in the NFL so far this season. There have been so many upsets, that most every 'Last Man Standing (Suicide) Pool' is almost over! The Ravens beat a resurgent Miami Dolphins team by sticking to their gameplan and playing error free ball. If they do the same this week, the result should be the same as well. However, how do we stack up against them on both offense and defense? Without Miami's ability to stop our running atttack, we would not have been able to control the ball and the clock like we did. Will Oakland cooperate in the same way? Let's take a look.
The Raiders offense is only marginally better than the Ravens, ranking 23rd overall, compared to Baltimore's 26th ranking. The Raiders have earned their success on the ground, and that plays right into the Ravens' strength. JaMarcus Russell is hitting on just over 50% of his passes, with five TD's and two interceptions. While he is a big, physical presence behind center, he has not used it to run the ball, never gaining more than 11 yrds per game on the ground. He's been sacked 14 times and has a 76.0 QB rating. Conversely, the Ravens' Joe Flacco has completed just over 64% of his passes for two TD's and seven interceptions, with 12 sacks and a 68.8 QB rating. Not a huge difference between two guys on teams that rely heavily on the run game for their success.
As far as the running attacks, the Raiders have employed a two prong attack, with both Darren McFadden and Justin Fargas enjoying success. The rookie McFadden, however, is the star, averaging over five yards a carry, with one TD. Surprisingly, no Raider has scored more than one TD all season. Once again, this plays right into the Ravens defense's hands. Expect Baltimore to slow, if not shut down the Raiders rushing attack, forcing them into passing situations much more often than they will feel comfortable. Blitz Russell on every down and force him to make the play. Don't forget to keep a defender around the line of scrimmage to make sure he doesn't try to scramble or check down to the short, quick, hot read. Defensively, the Ravens should be able to derail the Raiders offense and keep them from putting much more than some long field goals on the board, off the foot of Sebastian Janikowski, who is already 13 of 17 in FG attempts, with two of over 50 yards, including the game winning 57 yarder in OT last week to beat the NY Jets.
So then it would appear that the game will fall to the Ravens if they can move the ball in the same manner they did last week in Miami. The Ravens oiffense may be low ranked, but while their defense is rated #2 (#1 against the run), the Raiders defense is rated 26th overall, giving up 360 yards per game, almost 120 more than the Ravens. Oakland surrenders an average of 136 yards on the ground each game, allowing just over 24 points to their opponents. If the Ravens can put up 24 on Oakland, then this game will be in the bag as a win. However, we know if will also depend on who wins the turnover battle. If the Ravens play relatively mistake free football on offense and their opportunistic defense capitalizes on Oakland turnovers, then this will only aid us in getting the "W."
Statistically, this looks like a Ravens victory on paper. But we all know and have seen this season that the games are definitely not played on paper. However, I expect these statistics to play out, as the Ravens have proven to be a much tougher team at home, and for the Raiders to travel across the country and beat an excellent defense on the road is a little too much for even the negative thinking Ravens fans to expect. Let's just hope the stats play out to the game itself.
We shall see.
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I like the Ravens 20-9
DMC will be a star for the Raiders, but he is not there yet. He has had one breakout game (vs the chiefs, for what its worth…) and has not stood out otherwise. I’m betting that will change soon, but not this week.
McFadden has a chance to be much more of a factor in the passing game this week, as he could see some favorable match ups if they can get him the ball on the outside. JaMarcus does not scare me a bit though. His big ass is gonna be hunted down by Ray and Crew and he will be forced into making bad throws as he has done throughout his short career.
As Rexx mentioned, west coast teams have not fared well when traveling east this year. Teams don’t fly east until Saturday, and stay on a west coast schedule, which makes a 1pm game feel like 10am to them. Maybe teams should start flying on Friday in order to give ample time to adjust to the time change.
This really is a must win game for the Ravens to keep playoff hopes alive.
by DT711 on
Oct 23, 2008 12:27 PM EDT
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Playoffs!!!???
Don’t even begin to mention the “P” word until we hit the last part of the schedule. New rule.
Rexx
by Rexx on
Oct 23, 2008 5:11 PM EDT
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How to beat the Raiders
Just show up.
They suck
by Ravensfan52 on
Oct 23, 2008 5:54 PM EDT
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BIG FEAR IS-
we can’t stop the pass- at all. why the dolphins didn’t keep airing it out is beyond me..they kept setting up the silly tame-cat o and for some reason gave up on the slicing and dicing of our pass d. look for the raiders to go pass happy- i’ll say russell throws the most passes of his career 40+. i would. j. porter should finally get the ball- maybe 12 times. we need to score first but if we run the same O as in miami- we win. please don’t change that game plan. heap was involved, rice, williams, mcclaine..everyone. probably the best called o game i’ve seen for us in years. we easily could have had 34+ without some missed connections…
ravens 27 raiders 3…. i didn’t say russell’s passes would be completed.
by raven on
Oct 23, 2008 9:47 PM EDT
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That would be great
If Russell throws 40+ passes we will get at least 3 picks, and our D will put points on the board. I think they are too dedicated to the run to do that. Either way, their offense plays right into our D’s strength. It should be fun.
by DT711 on
Oct 24, 2008 9:21 AM EDT
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Come on Raven Fans
Your team is not that good! You have beat no one and just come to the reality that your team is 2-3 years away from being back in the playoff scenario. I respect your team’s defense and I think that they are bad ass and I would hate to see DMC and Fargas get crushed by Lewis or Scott. But the sad reality is that both of our teams are not that good and that we should accept the fact that they will probably win 7 games at best. The issue that I have with your blog is that you are giving the Raiders no credit. They took Buffalo and SD to the end and they are not a team that the Ravens are just going to roll over on. I will be over in Lot J representing my Raiders on Sunday and if they get their asses handed to them than I still walk away a Raiders fan. Hopefully they win on Sunday but if Russell makes mistakes than it will be a long day. I also agree that running on your defense will be like pulling teeth. Anyways see ya’ll on Sunday….GO RAIDERS!!!!
by marylandraider on
Oct 24, 2008 3:29 PM EDT
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Hey, I will be in Lot J as well!
I do think this team is a lot better than the Raiders, based on our defense alone. Combined with the home crowd and I see a victory Sunday. I was shocked that you took Buffalo to the brink, but the Raiders team that lost to NO is the one I’m thinking of seeing this week. We migh only win seven games, but it will probabl be 2-3 more than Oaklnad. Yes, I’m a homer, but c’mon, there teams are far different in comparison. Besides, we both play in pretty average divisions, with the steelers much better than anything in the AFC West this season.
I’ll come look for you in Lot J and offer you a beer to drown your sorrows!
Rexx
by Rexx on
Oct 24, 2008 3:40 PM EDT
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I think 20-9 was a fair assessment
Being that the game will be played in Baltimore and the way each teams strengths play out. Marylandraider, whats your prediction for the game?
by DT711 on
Oct 24, 2008 3:59 PM EDT
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Raiders-Ravens tilt
Judging the outcome of an NFL contest solely on the statistical matchup is an exercise in futility. Eliminating the Raiders ill-fated season-opener against Denver (DeAngelo Hall, bereft of preseason practice/game reps, et al) the Raiders defensive stats are more representative of their overall effort.
This aside the Raiders are currently in the top 10 in sacks and overall against the pass. Just ask one Brett Favre.
Emphasizing against the future hall of famer’s presence against the Jets yielded Favre’s lowest stastical numbers of the season, not to mention a sore Monday Morning.
This effort afforded a bonanza for the Jets running game, however. This remains the Raiders defensive liability de jour.
However, their defensive makeup against Baltimore won’t provide such a litany of problems.
Joe Flacco has proven a worthy addition to the Ravens offense. However (as with the Raiders Jemarcus Russell), one should never stake the fortunes of their team on a first year starter.
Thus, The Raiders should prove more successful facing the Ravens rushing attack than the Jets. The Jets offensive line is one of the most talented in the NFL. Just the same the Raiders provided relentless pressure against the Jets. The Ravens protection group is not as heralded.
If the Raiders somewhat neutralize the Ravens rushing attack & take a page from the Ravens defensive playbook & blits Flacco vigirously I think this game will come down to a special teams battle.
Unlike previous additions the Raiders currently field among the best special teams groups in the NFL; across the board.
I do concede the Ravens should shut down the Raiders rushing attack. However, if Russel’s success against the Chargers & Jets is any indication the Raiders may hit on a big play or so.
Buffalo beat writers were predicting a compilation score against the Raiders in the 34-13 vicinity. The sore sport of the season, the Raiders were edged 24-23 on a last second field goal.
I expect a final score in the teens. Whatever club emasses more than 17 points should be the victor.
Tune in Sunday!
by antispy3 on
Oct 24, 2008 7:43 PM EDT
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I think it will be....
A battle of field position and will come down to who makes the crucial mistakes. J Mac can easily throw a few picks but so can Flacco. If you look at both of our teams we have one thing in common, our Offenses Stink! It will come down to miscues on offense and big plays on defense. I predict a 13-10 game with my Raiders escaping M&T with a victory or vice versa. Anyways I will be in Lot J in my blue Jeep Grand Cherokee cooking up the steaks and brats. I will be wearing the alternate silver color DMC jersey come on over and have a few beers Rexx! GO RAIDERS!
by marylandraider on
Oct 24, 2008 7:50 PM EDT
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I will check you out!
Sounds pretty good. But I guess I can take a page out of antispy3’s book and say take away the Colts blowout of us and we could be 5-0 if we held onto the leads against both Pittsburgh and Tennessee. We didn’t and you guys didn’t either. That’s why it’s not going to lead off SportsCenter, is it. The Ravens always play a lot better at home and might have blown it to a good team (Tennessee), but doubt they’ll do it again to a below average one. At last the Ravens face a team whose QB raises as many questions as ours.
See you in Lot J!
Rexx
by Rexx on
Oct 25, 2008 10:20 AM EDT
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